NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	91		Excitement	8.7 [147]		MVP	Eldridge Recasner (ATL): +48.9%
Toronto Raptors	88		Comeback	8.2 [107]		LVP	Walt Williams (TOR): -19.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eldridge Recasner	0.49	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.14,0.49	0.12	0.39	0.01	13	77%	0.59	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.04
Dikembe Mutombo	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.09	0.00	8	86%	0.21	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Ivano Newbill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	62%	0.12	4	-0.17	4	100%	0.06
Jon Barry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Donnie Boyce	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ken Norman	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	10	30%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Willie Burton	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	5	30%	-0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.06	-0.14	-0.00	16	64%	0.12	7	-0.32	13	69%	-0.03

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.09	0.01	9	59%	0.15	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.02	-0.01	8	75%	0.12	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Acie Earl	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Whiteside	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Lohaus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sharone Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	6	33%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.13,0.13,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.07	0.02	18	54%	-0.01	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.07
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	10	40%	-0.00	5	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.05	-0.12	0.03	18	46%	-0.15	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.5	23.4	15.7	27.1	1.7	36.2	132.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +88.3%

ATL +6.7%

TOR -13.0%

TOR -30.3%

TOR -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	TOR	NBA	ATL	TOR	NBA
this game	16.7	16.6	15.6	105.8	101.1	104.4
season	16.4	16.1		105.3	102.2
opponent	15.0	16.0		105.6	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.3	17.5	18.0	17.3	16.7
TOR	16.3	15.3	16.3	18.7	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Burton	32	34	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.47	12	-9	21	17.3	16.3	0.95	17.3	16.2	1.08
Eldridge Recasner	77	78	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.38	6	-3	9	16.7	16.8	-0.10	16.9	14.2	2.66
Christian Laettner	82	83	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.41	5	-2	7	16.5	20.2	-3.74	16.6	17.5	-0.93
Tyrone Corbin	53	54	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.44	1	2	-1	17.1	16.0	1.06	17.0	16.0	0.98
Dikembe Mutombo	75	74	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.29	0	3	-3	16.6	17.3	-0.67	16.5	17.5	-1.00
Ivano Newbill	10	12	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	-2	7	16.0	16.8	-0.78	18.4	16.3	2.10
Ken Norman	38	38	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	5	-7	16.8	16.6	0.28	15.9	17.2	-1.27
Donnie Boyce	13	13	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	8	-13	17.8	16.5	1.37	15.2	16.9	-1.62
Jon Barry	26	26	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.06	-7	10	-17	17.6	16.3	1.28	15.8	16.9	-1.09

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	66	65	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-6	9	16.2	17.9	-1.65	16.2	18.3	-2.12
Marcus Camby	43	43	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.29	10	-13	23	16.3	16.9	-0.65	17.3	16.1	1.23
Donald Whiteside	14	14	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.03	1	-4	5	15.8	16.8	-0.98	13.7	17.3	-3.55
Sharone Wright	26	25	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-1	-1	16.3	16.7	-0.43	18.5	15.9	2.59
Acie Earl	3	4	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	1	-5	21.7	16.4	5.24	20.5	16.5	4.00
Brad Lohaus	32	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	3	-9	16.7	16.5	0.22	15.0	17.7	-2.73
Walt Williams	66	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.45	2	-5	7	16.3	17.5	-1.21	16.0	18.9	-2.87
Popeye Jones	70	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	3	-9	16.6	16.5	0.17	16.2	18.5	-2.29
Damon Stoudamire	73	72	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.39	-4	1	-5	16.8	15.8	0.98	17.3	13.7	3.55
Hubert Davis	42	42	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.40	-9	6	-15	17.7	15.6	2.09	18.6	14.9	3.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.63,0.85,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 90, SAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.72,0.84,0.58,0	92.0%
TOR 94, DEN 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.81,0.7,0.6,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.36,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.58,0	91.8%
SAC 84, VAN 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.78,0.42,0	91.4%