inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 81 Excitement4.0 [993] MVPKobe Bryant (LAL): +7.5%
Los Angeles Lakers 106 Comeback1.1 [1243] LVPBrian Grant (MIA): -9.8%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rasual Butler0.070,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.11-0.000.041080%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Mike James0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.090.01-0.101352%0.106-0.091100%0.00
Caron Butler-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.02-0.011464%0.044-0.05887%0.02
Eddie House-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.080.00-0.06617%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Sean Marks-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00125%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Vladimir Stepania-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.010.000.03950%-0.031-0.012100%0.00
Sean Lampley-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.01440%-0.012-0.062100%0.00
Malik Allen-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.02-0.031020%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Anthony Carter-0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.01217%-0.052-0.05250%-0.01
Brian Grant-0.100,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.02-0.02643%-0.014-0.092100%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.00-0.022165%0.164-0.081392%0.05
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.02-0.00760%0.0500.001100%0.00
Rick Fox0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.06-0.020.006100%0.143-0.1000%0.00
Samaki Walker0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.01562%0.0100.00367%-0.00
Mark Madsen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Slava Medvedenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brian Shaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.01437%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tracy Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.000.02850%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.020.011345%-0.0600.00771%-0.02
Kareem Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.03-0.010.09779%0.013-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.10.729.316.429.32.426.5130.8
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +23.3%
LAL +9.3%
LAL +11.7%
LAL +5.6%
LAL +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIALALNBAMIALALNBA
this game16.514.815.588.0115.2101.6
season16.315.494.6105.0
opponent15.115.9102.8100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.914.919.414.816.5
LAL13.117.913.315.214.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sean Marks9100.09-0.590.670.12-1-242315.316.6-1.2715.414.80.64
Eddie House2627-0.02-0.480.450.15-6-191314.817.1-2.2815.314.60.67
Vladimir Stepania5553-0.05-0.450.400.07-4-211715.717.6-1.8215.314.21.03
Mike James6665-0.06-0.440.380.20-9-16715.918.0-2.1715.413.51.85
Sean Lampley3735-0.15-0.350.210.09-8-17916.116.7-0.5716.313.92.45
Rasual Butler6564-0.32-0.18-0.130.18-17-8-916.317.0-0.7414.415.7-1.28
Anthony Carter2627-0.44-0.06-0.380.03-16-9-718.015.92.1713.515.4-1.85
Brian Grant4445-0.50-0.00-0.490.18-23-2-2116.516.5-0.0014.814.9-0.09
Caron Butler7576-0.50-0.00-0.490.09-20-5-1516.914.62.2514.616.0-1.42
Malik Allen5758-0.560.06-0.610.06-21-4-1718.013.94.0914.016.3-2.28

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Samaki Walker63640.63-0.130.76-0.2229-43314.116.3-2.2217.414.33.15
Shaquille O'Neal63650.60-0.100.70-0.1626-12714.415.7-1.3117.314.62.72
Rick Fox43410.59-0.090.67-0.122412313.316.2-2.9018.015.22.79
Derek Fisher63630.56-0.060.62-0.112322114.316.0-1.7617.015.41.50
Kobe Bryant72720.56-0.060.62-0.122322114.017.7-3.7417.114.12.98
Devean George46470.040.46-0.41-0.16718-1116.013.72.3015.617.4-1.80
Brian Shaw24240.010.49-0.47-0.16619-1315.214.70.4614.817.1-2.23
Mark Madsen670.000.50-0.50-0.03124-2317.014.72.3313.916.7-2.84
Slava Medvedenko880.000.50-0.50-0.06223-2117.714.53.2013.116.8-3.67
Tracy Murray65-0.110.61-0.720.04-530-3514.514.8-0.3513.216.7-3.47
Kareem Rush2525-0.140.64-0.77-0.08-227-2918.213.64.6915.017.0-2.03
Robert Horry4139-0.250.75-1.000.01-934-4316.013.92.1614.617.9-3.28


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 86, PHI 1070.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.77,0.75,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%
CHI 87, BKN 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.59,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%
DET 99, MIL 1200.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%