NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	87		Excitement	4.7 [908]		MVP	Allen Crabbe (BKN): +19.1%
Brooklyn Nets	104		Comeback	1.4 [905]		LVP	Justin Holiday (CHI): -13.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Nwaba	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	4	60%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Portis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	11	41%	0.03	1	-0.01	7	57%	-0.02
Kris Dunn	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.04	15	66%	0.13	4	-0.12	5	80%	0.01
Noah Vonleh	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.02
Cristiano Felicio	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	18	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Denzel Valentine	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	16	34%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.14	0.00	-0.07	10	10%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.04	11	17%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.17	0.03	0.01	13	72%	0.19	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.05	0.04	11	75%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	11	75%	0.17	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	11	68%	0.10	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	9	33%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	6	42%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	9	37%	0.04	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	9	33%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.0	25.2	14.6	29.2	2.4	23.6	121.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +54.0%

BKN +4.0%

CHI -9.1%

BKN +6.6%

CHI -5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BKN	NBA	CHI	BKN	NBA
this game	13.6	15.2	14.7	87.0	104.0	107.5
season	14.2	14.7		103.2	105.8
opponent	14.1	15.0		109.4	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.0	12.0	14.9	12.6	13.6
BKN	13.3	16.8	15.7	15.1	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Portis	44	45	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.15	8	-25	33	12.6	14.4	-1.84	15.9	14.6	1.29
Noah Vonleh	32	33	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.23	9	-26	35	11.7	14.5	-2.75	15.8	14.9	0.95
Cameron Payne	38	38	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-23	29	12.0	14.6	-2.66	15.8	14.8	1.03
Denzel Valentine	61	59	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.14	4	-21	25	12.7	15.1	-2.43	16.2	13.7	2.50
Justin Holiday	75	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.04	-17	0	-17	13.9	12.9	0.99	14.4	17.7	-3.33
Kris Dunn	62	62	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.18	-23	6	-29	14.6	12.0	2.66	14.8	15.8	-1.03
Lauri Markkanen	62	62	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.18	-23	6	-29	14.6	12.0	2.66	14.8	15.8	-1.03
David Nwaba	64	65	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.10	-21	4	-25	14.2	12.5	1.71	15.2	15.2	0.01
Cristiano Felicio	62	60	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	0.21	-28	11	-39	14.3	12.5	1.81	14.7	15.9	-1.20

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Dinwiddie	60	61	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.25	26	-9	35	14.6	16.1	-1.49	14.6	12.1	2.53
DeMarre Carroll	56	56	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.27	25	-8	33	14.6	15.9	-1.22	14.2	12.8	1.43
Allen Crabbe	48	49	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	1	15	14.5	15.8	-1.31	15.0	12.3	2.67
D'Angelo Russell	61	60	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.07	11	6	5	15.6	14.5	1.18	13.6	13.6	0.03
Jarrett Allen	51	50	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.22	20	-3	23	14.5	15.9	-1.37	14.0	13.3	0.68
Joe Harris	61	61	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	9	-1	15.5	14.7	0.76	13.2	14.3	-1.13
Dante Cunningham	48	48	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.20	0	17	-17	15.7	14.7	0.98	13.2	14.0	-0.71
Caris LeVert	45	44	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.08	5	12	-7	16.0	14.5	1.53	12.4	14.6	-2.16
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	45	45	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.30	-10	27	-37	14.7	15.6	-0.89	13.0	14.1	-1.09
Nik Stauskas	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	21	-25	14.4	15.2	-0.81	11.7	13.8	-2.05
Quincy Acy	18	19	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.21	-12	29	-41	18.1	14.5	3.51	11.4	14.1	-2.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.59,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 78, HOU 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
LAC 80, PHI 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.59,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
MIL 82, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%