NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	97		Excitement	6.6 [470]		MVP	Charlie Ward (NYK): +15.3%
Miami Heat	92		Comeback	1.4 [562]		LVP	Caron Butler (MIA): -31.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Ward	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.15	0.02	0.13	-0.01	8	70%	0.27	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.03
Michael Doleac	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	3	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	77%	0.06	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.03
Othella Harrington	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	6	83%	0.08	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	67%	0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0	75%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	20	59%	0.07	4	-0.14	11	82%	0.03
Allan Houston	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	9	52%	-0.06	3	-0.09	7	86%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.07	0.01	7	86%	0.17	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	17	63%	0.15	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.01	7	70%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.07	0.01	15	52%	-0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	0.00	12	33%	-0.11	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.32	-0.32	-0.13	-0.19	-0.00	18	33%	-0.19	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.7	29.3	15.8	27.1	2.5	39.5	142.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +51.3%

NYK +25.3%

MIA -12.9%

MIA -18.5%

NYK +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIA	NBA	NYK	MIA	NBA
this game	16.1	17.0	15.5	112.8	104.5	101.6
season	15.6	16.3		102.6	94.6
opponent	15.9	15.5		100.7	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.7	15.9	18.6	14.3	16.1
MIA	13.7	20.1	15.7	19.1	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	43	45	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.19	15	-10	25	14.6	17.7	-3.07	18.4	15.5	2.96
Kurt Thomas	69	71	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.48	0	5	-5	16.5	14.4	2.12	16.5	18.8	-2.29
Shandon Anderson	48	48	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.22	6	-1	7	15.5	16.9	-1.35	17.9	15.8	2.11
Allan Houston	51	53	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.18	7	-2	9	16.3	15.8	0.53	15.8	18.7	-2.93
Clar. Weatherspoon	56	56	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.33	-1	6	-7	14.8	18.6	-3.81	17.5	16.1	1.34
Latrell Sprewell	73	75	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.31	-3	8	-11	16.4	14.8	1.59	17.2	15.8	1.42
Othella Harrington	28	30	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	0	5	19.8	14.3	5.49	16.8	17.1	-0.22
Michael Doleac	17	17	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.13	5	0	5	14.4	16.5	-2.12	18.8	16.5	2.29
Howard Eisley	45	45	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.18	-9	14	-23	16.9	15.2	1.71	15.0	19.0	-4.00

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Allen	76	72	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.24	6	-11	17	16.7	18.8	-2.15	16.7	13.0	3.72
Rasual Butler	7	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	1	-7	24.1	16.4	7.78	14.9	16.2	-1.37
Mike James	45	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.20	0	-5	5	17.4	16.5	0.91	14.4	17.9	-3.45
Travis Best	68	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.30	0	-5	5	16.4	18.8	-2.42	16.5	14.7	1.78
Vladimir Stepania	30	29	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	4	-13	18.9	16.0	2.87	14.5	16.9	-2.41
Caron Butler	76	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.31	-2	-3	1	16.4	20.8	-4.46	16.1	16.5	-0.49
Eddie Jones	70	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.28	-8	3	-11	16.8	17.5	-0.66	16.6	14.4	2.18
Brian Grant	68	69	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.41	-6	1	-7	16.8	17.5	-0.74	16.6	14.2	2.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.37,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 103, GSW 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.22,0.58,0	92.1%
TOR 90, NYK 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.19,0.24,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.41,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.29,0.29,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.26,0	92.0%
MIA 92, DAL 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.3,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.12,0.2,0.17,0.27,0.26,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.19,0.04,0.06,0.15,0	91.9%