inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 92 Excitement6.3 [558] MVPDan Majerle (MIA): +15.7%
Dallas Mavericks 89 Comeback1.1 [930] LVPMichael Finley (DAL): -16.8%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dan Majerle0.160,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.160.080.090.01778%0.181-0.02450%-0.02
Voshon Lenard0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.080.070.000.001363%0.101-0.031100%0.01
Otis Thorpe0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.030.00480%0.082-0.052100%0.02
P.J. Brown0.010,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.010.02-0.010.001760%0.062-0.04862%-0.03
Mark Strickland0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00267%0.0100.002100%0.01
Rodney Buford-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Alonzo Mourning-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.01-0.011750%0.064-0.102100%0.01
Rex Walters-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.020.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.01440%0.013-0.082100%0.01
Anthony Carter-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16-0.10-0.05-0.0040%-0.102-0.0500%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hubert Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.07-0.000.013100%0.0600.002100%0.01
Gary Trent0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.010.021465%0.081-0.02667%-0.01
Rick Hughes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Cedric Ceballos0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00952%0.0200.00580%0.01
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.06-0.06-0.070.00-0.011539%-0.002-0.0610%-0.01
Shawn Bradley0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.040.01950%-0.032-0.06475%-0.01
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,-0.12-0.12-0.02-0.100.00943%-0.1200.00333%-0.05
Michael Finley0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.14-0.04-0.021736%0.004-0.172100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.33.727.316.325.51.638.0137.7
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +25.5%
DAL -0.6%
MIA +15.7%
DAL -3.2%
MIA +12.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIADALNBAMIADALNBA
this game16.316.115.2102.2101.1101.7
season15.714.8101.2104.2
opponent14.815.9104.698.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.413.615.421.316.3
DAL16.617.116.613.616.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Voshon Lenard61590.480.020.460.364-1517.114.62.4815.517.2-1.66
Otis Thorpe42400.390.110.290.1010-71715.916.7-0.8317.015.21.82
Clar. Weatherspoon39370.360.140.210.0610-71716.216.4-0.2117.215.21.95
Rex Walters22210.330.170.160.137-41116.816.10.6315.616.2-0.57
Alonzo Mourning68650.330.170.160.39-25-717.213.53.7115.617.4-1.87
P.J. Brown61620.300.200.100.3003-315.717.6-1.9515.916.4-0.47
Dan Majerle77750.120.38-0.250.42-1013-2316.713.82.8715.618.7-3.09
Anthony Carter52520.120.38-0.260.32-710-1715.617.3-1.7116.116.00.05
Rodney Buford210.040.46-0.41-0.0221111.016.4-5.4213.016.1-3.09
Mark Strickland26280.020.48-0.46-0.0112-114.717.0-2.3117.415.41.91

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rick Hughes23-0.04-0.460.410.04-30-38.516.2-7.7312.316.4-4.10
Michael Finley7880-0.22-0.280.06-0.365-81315.718.5-2.7616.117.8-1.69
Dirk Nowitzki7171-0.24-0.260.01-0.395-81316.215.50.6516.117.2-1.09
Shawn Bradley6670-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.383-6915.816.7-0.8917.113.53.60
Damon Jones4043-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.33-1-2115.116.9-1.8017.415.32.19
Hubert Davis6362-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.14-85-1316.515.01.4815.817.5-1.74
Cedric Ceballos5961-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.37-30-315.816.6-0.7917.114.62.48
Gary Trent6160-0.520.02-0.54-0.14-1310-2317.313.33.9315.018.9-3.85


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.3,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.12,0.2,0.17,0.27,0.26,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.19,0.04,0.06,0.15,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 99, BKN 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.19,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,094.1%
TOR 94, UTA 790.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.01,0,0,093.4%
PHI 130, MIL 1250.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.28,0.23,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,0,0.03,0.02,093.4%