NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	99		Excitement	5.5 [689]		MVP	Marco Belinelli (CHI): +17.7%
Brooklyn Nets	93		Comeback	1.0 [405]		LVP	Joe Johnson (BKN): -18.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.18	0.19	0.03	0.04	14	73%	0.18	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.04	0.00	17	71%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	13	53%	0.09	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Jimmy Butler	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.03	-0.04	10	41%	0.04	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.06	14	43%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Teague	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.14	0.01	0.05	17	60%	0.10	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	16	59%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.01	6	60%	0.03	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	20	49%	0.00	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	5	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18	-0.18	-0.19	-0.03	-0.04	14	21%	-0.12	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.8	32.2	18.8	28.2	3.5	33.2	142.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +59.8%

BKN -4.2%

BKN -8.5%

CHI +5.4%

BKN -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BKN	NBA	CHI	BKN	NBA
this game	18.3	16.4	15.4	119.3	112.0	104.1
season	16.6	16.5		101.7	106.5
opponent	15.4	15.2		104.2	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.5	17.6	18.6	19.3	18.3
BKN	15.3	17.5	19.3	14.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	83	83	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	18.3	0.0	18.27	16.4	0.0	16.43
Joakim Noah	71	71	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	2	2	18.1	19.5	-1.44	16.3	17.1	-0.76
Taj Gibson	35	34	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	0	6	17.7	18.7	-0.95	17.2	15.9	1.26
Nate Robinson	56	56	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.24	3	3	0	18.3	18.1	0.17	16.5	16.2	0.31
Daequan Cook	14	13	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	-4	14	15.4	18.8	-3.41	18.1	16.1	1.95
Carlos Boozer	50	51	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	4	-2	18.6	17.7	0.94	16.0	17.1	-1.02
Marco Belinelli	71	72	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.34	-5	11	-16	18.4	17.4	0.99	16.0	19.4	-3.38
Marquis Teague	25	25	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	2	2	19.3	17.8	1.51	16.6	16.3	0.30
Nazr Mohammed	10	10	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	6	-6	19.8	18.1	1.75	16.7	16.4	0.30

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	46	46	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.29	9	-15	24	16.1	16.8	-0.73	18.7	17.8	0.87
MarShon Brooks	15	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	-3	0	16.6	16.4	0.20	17.9	18.3	-0.40
Kris Humphries	22	22	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	1	-8	16.1	16.6	-0.47	18.7	18.1	0.57
CJ Watson	29	29	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	1	-8	17.4	15.9	1.56	18.9	17.9	0.92
Joe Johnson	68	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-5	4	15.8	19.2	-3.38	18.1	19.1	-1.06
Gerald Wallace	68	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-4	2	16.3	16.9	-0.53	18.0	19.5	-1.47
Brook Lopez	64	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.25	-4	-2	-2	16.1	17.4	-1.28	18.0	19.1	-1.02
Andray Blatche	34	33	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.04	-11	5	-16	17.6	15.6	2.06	18.5	18.1	0.31
Deron Williams	69	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.36	-4	-2	-2	16.7	15.3	1.38	18.3	18.2	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.19,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 94, MIA 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.33,0.32,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.3%
DEN 93, HOU 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.1,0.07,0	94.3%
ORL 98, UTA 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.21,0.29,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.19,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0	94.3%