NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	94		Excitement	5.0 [816]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): +13.6%
Miami Heat	85		Comeback	1.1 [874]		LVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): -15.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.04	0.04	19	62%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Boone	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	-0.01	8	71%	0.13	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Marcus Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.05	0.00	5	75%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Vince Carter	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	14	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	11	50%	0.00	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	7	28%	-0.05	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alexander Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.00	6	100%	0.16	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Mark Blount	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	9	64%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Luke Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	10	48%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chris Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.01	5	44%	-0.00	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	11	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Earl Barron	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.01	0.01	12	37%	-0.05	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.04	0.04	14	52%	-0.01	6	-0.15	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	25.5	15.4	30.2	2.7	27.6	127.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +32.0%

MIA -6.1%

NJN +9.9%

NJN +14.0%

NJN +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIA	NBA	NJN	MIA	NBA
this game	15.5	16.0	15.4	103.3	92.4	105.7
season	15.4	16.0		101.8	99.0
opponent	15.4	15.5		108.3	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.7	14.5	15.5	17.3	15.5
MIA	14.7	18.2	15.8	15.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	81	80	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-3	15	15.2	18.0	-2.84	16.1	15.4	0.67
Jason Collins	34	34	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	-1	11	16.1	15.1	0.98	16.4	15.8	0.56
Antoine Wright	45	46	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	6	-3	16.8	14.2	2.58	16.6	15.4	1.13
Bostjan Nachbar	40	42	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.12	6	3	3	15.1	15.7	-0.62	16.0	16.0	-0.09
Jason Kidd	69	69	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	5	-1	15.0	17.0	-1.95	15.9	16.2	-0.23
Richard Jefferson	70	71	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.18	2	7	-5	15.3	15.9	-0.56	15.6	17.3	-1.67
Marcus Williams	22	23	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.08	5	4	1	17.0	15.0	1.95	16.2	15.9	0.23
Sean Williams	42	42	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	5	-1	14.7	16.1	-1.45	16.2	15.9	0.31
Josh Boone	52	52	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	10	-11	15.5	15.4	0.06	15.8	16.2	-0.35
Darrell Armstrong	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	9	-9	0.0	15.5	-15.47	1.0	16.2	-15.16

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alexander Johnson	47	48	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.18	6	-15	21	17.1	14.9	2.22	16.1	14.8	1.25
Chris Quinn	12	13	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-6	3	18.0	15.7	2.30	17.0	15.2	1.78
Luke Jackson	44	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-10	11	16.0	16.0	-0.00	16.3	14.7	1.57
Mark Blount	53	52	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-1	-7	15.6	16.5	-0.85	15.4	15.6	-0.16
Jason Williams	72	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	-3	-3	15.7	17.0	-1.34	15.0	17.1	-2.17
Dwyane Wade	73	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-3	-3	16.0	16.1	-0.13	15.0	17.2	-2.13
Ricky Davis	72	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-6	3	16.0	15.9	0.06	15.5	15.5	-0.10
Earl Barron	34	33	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	5	-19	15.4	16.3	-0.89	15.1	15.7	-0.65
Dorell Wright	53	51	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.16	-12	3	-15	15.7	16.4	-0.67	15.5	15.4	0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.33,0.32,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 105, CHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.29,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	95.1%
PHI 114, SEA 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.2,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.2,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.0%
MIL 103, PHI 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%