NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	98		Excitement	5.5 [711]		MVP	Rodney Hood (UTA): +18.7%
Utah Jazz	93		Comeback	1.2 [387]		LVP	Trey Burke (UTA): -11.8%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.19	0.13	0.05	-0.01	12	77%	0.21	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Tobias Harris	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.07	-0.01	18	51%	0.16	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Ben Gordon	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	6	86%	0.18	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.01	8	69%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0.05	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	7	76%	0.08	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	2	33%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Hood	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.06	0.03	6	88%	0.19	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	17	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.05	0.01	12	62%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	5	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	11	41%	-0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	4	37%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	15	36%	-0.09	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	24.1	14.7	26.3	2.5	36.2	131.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +36.9%

ORL +7.8%

UTA -7.3%

ORL +9.7%

ORL +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	UTA	NBA	ORL	UTA	NBA
this game	16.0	17.7	15.1	114.0	109.4	104.2
season	14.9	16.2		100.4	103.8
opponent	15.3	15.3		103.7	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.4	16.3	17.0	15.2	16.0
UTA	17.3	20.5	18.1	15.4	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Victor Oladipo	66	64	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.32	13	-8	21	15.8	16.6	-0.84	17.4	18.7	-1.23
Tobias Harris	61	61	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.32	9	-4	13	16.1	15.7	0.39	17.4	18.6	-1.23
Channing Frye	61	61	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.23	12	-7	19	16.3	15.2	1.12	18.3	16.2	2.08
Evan Fournier	53	55	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	2	1	16.2	15.6	0.61	17.0	19.1	-2.10
Elfrid Payton	56	53	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.42	-5	10	-15	15.6	16.6	-0.99	17.6	18.0	-0.36
Kyle O'Quinn	32	34	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.18	12	-7	19	15.7	16.1	-0.37	17.9	17.6	0.28
Dewayne Dedmon	32	32	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	4	-3	16.9	15.4	1.57	18.2	17.4	0.82
Ben Gordon	31	30	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	8	-11	15.8	16.0	-0.18	19.4	16.9	2.51
Andrew Nicholson	17	15	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.09	-7	12	-19	16.5	15.8	0.64	18.5	17.6	0.96
Willie Green	21	20	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.10	-10	15	-25	14.2	16.5	-2.27	16.2	18.2	-1.95

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	20	22	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.02	4	-9	13	18.3	17.6	0.80	15.9	16.0	-0.12
Trevor Booker	35	35	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.23	11	-16	27	17.7	17.8	-0.05	17.2	15.1	2.15
Steve Novak	3	4	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-5	5	6.3	18.2	-11.83	1.0	16.7	-15.68
Dante Exum	33	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-6	7	18.4	17.3	1.07	15.7	16.2	-0.50
Rodney Hood	46	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.31	6	-11	17	17.4	18.1	-0.72	16.0	15.9	0.10
Ian Clark	14	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	2	-9	18.4	17.6	0.82	17.8	15.6	2.14
Joe Ingles	34	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-1	-3	19.2	16.8	2.44	16.1	15.8	0.27
Gordon Hayward	67	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.32	-1	-4	3	17.0	20.3	-3.29	15.7	16.7	-1.01
Trey Burke	61	59	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.25	-8	3	-11	17.4	18.5	-1.12	16.1	15.6	0.53
Enes Kanter	47	47	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.10	-16	11	-27	18.5	16.8	1.67	16.3	15.6	0.71
Derrick Favors	65	65	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.32	-11	6	-17	17.6	18.3	-0.80	15.7	16.6	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.21,0.29,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.19,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 113, DET 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.26,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	94.7%
CHI 99, BKN 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.19,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0	94.3%
CHA 94, SAC 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.22,0.32,0.15,0.11,0.18,0.24,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.01,0,0	94.2%