NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	130		Excitement	6.4 [593]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +32.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	125		Comeback	1.1 [420]		LVP	Eric Bledsoe (MIL): -10.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0.26	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26	0.17	0.08	-0.02	31	58%	0.26	1	-0.00	7	86%	-0.00
JJ Redick	0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.02	10	86%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jimmy Butler	0.11	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	16	60%	0.16	2	-0.05	13	69%	-0.01
Tobias Harris	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	67%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
James Ennis III	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben Simmons	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.00	8	44%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Mike Scott	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	10	40%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.33	0.33	0.36	0.06	0.10	26	71%	0.35	1	-0.03	21	90%	0.06
D.J. Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.01	-0.00	8	81%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	83%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	11	54%	0.03	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.04	-0.01	0.09	18	53%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	7	14%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	14	39%	-0.05	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	3.4	25.5	14.6	29.4	3.3	44.3	144.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +39.7%

MIL -13.3%

PHI +28.1%

MIL -5.5%

PHI +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIL	NBA	PHI	MIL	NBA
this game	13.6	13.1	14.3	120.4	115.7	109.3
season	14.0	13.5		110.9	112.4
opponent	14.3	14.1		104.0	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.5	12.4	16.6	13.1	13.6
MIL	14.1	14.8	11.7	11.7	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Scott	50	54	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.06	15	-10	25	13.7	13.5	0.25	14.7	11.5	3.20
Tobias Harris	78	79	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.21	5	0	5	13.4	14.0	-0.58	12.7	14.1	-1.35
Jimmy Butler	78	79	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.21	5	0	5	13.4	14.0	-0.58	12.7	14.1	-1.35
Ben Simmons	83	79	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.44	-6	11	-17	13.4	14.0	-0.59	12.5	14.8	-2.34
Boban Marjanovic	22	24	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.11	12	-7	19	13.2	13.7	-0.45	15.2	12.5	2.79
JJ Redick	75	72	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	7	-9	13.9	12.9	0.97	13.0	13.2	-0.17
Joel Embiid	83	81	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.40	-6	11	-17	13.3	14.5	-1.22	12.6	14.6	-2.01
James Ennis III	37	36	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.30	-4	9	-13	13.4	13.7	-0.31	12.6	13.3	-0.71
T.J. McConnell	34	36	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	-1	7	14.9	13.0	1.98	13.9	12.7	1.25

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Hill	21	20	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-8	11	14.3	12.8	1.49	16.0	13.0	2.97
Ersan Ilyasova	38	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.17	5	-10	15	13.4	12.9	0.52	15.0	12.9	2.12
Tony Snell	17	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-5	5	14.4	12.8	1.51	13.4	13.6	-0.17
Giannis Antetokounmpo	81	86	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.43	12	-17	29	12.0	16.5	-4.53	13.8	12.6	1.19
D.J. Wilson	34	32	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	2	-9	15.5	12.0	3.48	13.8	13.5	0.28
Nikola Mirotic	55	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	3	-11	13.2	13.0	0.16	13.0	14.2	-1.20
Brook Lopez	78	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.28	-2	-3	1	12.6	14.5	-1.92	13.0	15.2	-2.19
Pat Connaughton	56	53	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.22	-6	1	-7	13.9	12.2	1.61	13.3	13.9	-0.59
Khris Middleton	81	82	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	0	-5	12.7	14.2	-1.47	13.6	13.6	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	79	78	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.13	-17	12	-29	12.8	14.0	-1.21	13.2	14.5	-1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.28,0.23,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,0,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 103, PHI 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
NJN 94, MIA 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.33,0.32,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.6%
SEA 104, WAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.11,0.06,0.15,0	94.4%