NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	90		Excitement	6.4 [426]		MVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): +27.8%
New York Knicks	85		Comeback	1.1 [261]		LVP	Landry Fields (NYK): -12.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0.28	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.28	0.06	0.22	0.00	13	62%	0.37	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.07
Rasual Butler	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.11	-0.00	12	54%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.02	0.07	-0.03	8	50%	0.11	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	5	59%	0.11	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.03
James Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	62%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	13	66%	0.14	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Anthony Carter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Amir Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Ed Davis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.07	0.01	4	79%	0.13	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.01,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.10	0.01	31	50%	0.15	3	-0.06	8	62%	-0.01
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.02	0.00	19	54%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.03
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	6	50%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Harrellson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	7	28%	-0.06	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.4	34.2	16.0	27.2	1.7	37.3	144.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +43.3%

TOR +20.3%

TOR +0.9%

NYK -14.3%

NYK -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	16.5	13.8	15.6	94.7	89.5	102.8
season	16.5	14.9		98.9	102.3
opponent	15.7	15.2		100.2	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.9	14.2	18.9	19.4	16.5
NYK	14.9	15.8	11.9	12.5	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	51	51	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-8	21	15.5	17.6	-2.04	13.9	13.7	0.13
Leandro Barbosa	25	25	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.01	11	-6	17	16.6	16.5	0.14	15.2	13.3	1.87
Jose Calderon	81	82	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.35	-2	7	-9	17.6	10.0	7.62	14.1	11.9	2.20
DeMar DeRozan	70	70	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.29	0	5	-5	16.4	16.7	-0.25	13.0	16.0	-2.96
Rasual Butler	76	76	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	5	-5	16.0	18.4	-2.34	13.6	14.5	-0.88
Ed Davis	30	31	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	-3	11	16.0	16.7	-0.67	13.7	13.9	-0.21
Anthony Carter	14	13	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	-2	9	10.0	17.6	-7.62	11.9	14.1	-2.20
Andrea Bargnani	73	72	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.34	-6	11	-17	17.2	14.0	3.19	14.3	12.2	2.12
James Johnson	20	20	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	4	-3	17.8	16.1	1.72	14.9	13.5	1.43
Jamaal Magloire	35	35	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.20	-7	12	-19	17.0	16.2	0.85	13.1	14.2	-1.12

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Landry Fields	63	64	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.37	13	-18	31	13.3	14.9	-1.59	17.7	14.0	3.66
Josh Harrellson	67	67	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.19	5	-10	15	13.4	14.7	-1.27	16.3	17.0	-0.67
Jerome Jordan	8	8	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	-2	-1	13.4	13.9	-0.49	13.4	16.8	-3.41
Toney Douglas	72	73	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.28	3	-8	11	13.8	14.0	-0.24	17.0	15.0	2.00
Steve Novak	21	21	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	5	-15	15.0	13.5	1.57	13.5	17.3	-3.81
Tyson Chandler	83	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-5	5	13.8	13.7	0.18	17.1	12.2	4.86
Carmelo Anthony	84	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-3	1	13.7	15.1	-1.44	16.4	16.8	-0.39
Mike Bibby	31	30	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.02	-18	13	-31	14.5	13.5	0.94	14.1	17.6	-3.50
Henry Walker	46	46	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.21	-13	8	-21	14.5	13.1	1.40	16.8	16.2	0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.19,0.24,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.41,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.29,0.29,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 102, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.09,0.24,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.09,0.11,0.01,0.03,0,0	93.0%
CHI 99, BKN 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.19,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0	92.8%
MIA 92, DAL 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.3,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.12,0.2,0.17,0.27,0.26,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.19,0.04,0.06,0.15,0	92.4%