inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 103 Excitement8.7 [178] MVPLarry Hughes (WAS): +32.4%
Golden State Warriors 101 Comeback1.4 [487] LVPKwame Brown (WAS): -21.5%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Larry Hughes0.320,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.320.040.29-0.001860%0.372-0.05667%-0.02
Gilbert Arenas0.260,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,-0.08,-0.08,0.260.020.250.011369%0.384-0.111669%-0.10
Brendan Haywood-0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.01-0.01370%0.032-0.04475%0.00
Juan Dixon-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jared Jeffries-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.02-0.01420%-0.072-0.042100%0.01
Antawn Jamison-0.120,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12-0.11-0.04-0.032337%-0.101-0.01367%-0.01
Michael Ruffin-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.07-0.040.00330%-0.081-0.04425%-0.06
Anthony Peeler-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.12,-0.120.02-0.140.00483%0.072-0.19475%0.00
Jarvis Hayes-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.13-0.01-0.00812%-0.092-0.0500%0.00
Kwame Brown-0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.15-0.060.00639%-0.065-0.15683%0.01

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Clifford Robinson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01-0.02550%0.0200.002100%0.01
Mickael Pietrus0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.001052%0.0100.001100%0.00
Luis Flores0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.010.00367%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Speedy Claxton0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01-0.01-0.050.050.011350%0.042-0.04887%0.10
Calbert Cheaney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00450%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Adonal Foyle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.020.001100%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Dale Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jason Richardson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.1,-0.02-0.020.02-0.030.012057%0.062-0.08667%0.03
Troy Murphy0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.080.04-0.011054%0.074-0.11887%0.04
Mike Dunleavy0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.021036%-0.042-0.042100%0.01
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.030.00280%0.064-0.14667%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.42.429.617.231.72.546.4153.0
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +51.0%
GSW -31.9%
WAS +46.4%
GSW -16.6%
WAS +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASGSWNBAWASGSWNBA
this game14.314.415.5102.0101.0104.0
season14.715.0104.7102.3
opponent15.215.5104.7105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS12.313.714.916.314.3
GSW15.415.113.913.014.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Larry Hughes80800.56-0.060.610.357-51213.915.7-1.7714.613.51.05
Gilbert Arenas80800.490.010.490.384-2614.314.20.1014.613.60.99
Kwame Brown39390.470.030.440.4120215.813.32.5713.714.8-1.10
Jared Jeffries45420.440.060.370.266-41013.714.7-1.0015.513.61.91
Brendan Haywood54520.400.100.290.1010-81812.516.3-3.8815.313.41.99
Antawn Jamison76750.300.200.090.155-3813.516.7-3.2114.913.01.85
Anthony Peeler26260.270.230.050.2411015.513.91.6113.514.7-1.15
Jarvis Hayes40420.150.35-0.200.30-57-1215.613.42.1713.415.1-1.70
Juan Dixon1616-0.110.61-0.720.07-68-1414.114.3-0.2413.014.7-1.65
Michael Ruffin4948-0.470.97-1.43-0.06-1416-3015.712.92.7313.315.4-2.07

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luis Flores14150.00-0.500.51-0.083-5813.014.6-1.6215.514.01.49
Dale Davis1212-0.01-0.490.48-0.010-2215.014.30.6914.714.20.45
Mike Dunleavy5453-0.08-0.420.34-0.142-4614.314.5-0.1613.615.0-1.32
Adonal Foyle2628-0.08-0.420.33-0.204-61013.714.6-0.9416.213.52.64
Calbert Cheaney2221-0.12-0.380.26-0.00-42-614.914.20.6714.214.3-0.04
Speedy Claxton7477-0.21-0.290.09-0.06-53-815.012.62.4514.015.0-1.02
Jason Richardson7981-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.453-5814.215.2-1.0714.613.11.46
Eduardo Najera3533-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.432-4612.915.2-2.2714.714.10.59
Mickael Pietrus5556-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.37-1-1014.214.6-0.4214.414.00.40
Clifford Robinson6261-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.23-64-1014.614.10.4613.315.7-2.41
Troy Murphy6768-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.23-86-1415.113.02.0314.114.7-0.59


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.22,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 100, TOR 980.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.35,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.08,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.18,0.14,0.37,0.41,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.58,092.2%
NYK 97, MIA 920.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.37,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.42,092.1%
SAC 100, MIN 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.33,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.25,0.22,0.45,0.27,091.4%