NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	100		Excitement	8.8 [163]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +56.1%
Toronto Raptors	98		Comeback	1.4 [812]		LVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): -16.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.56	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,0.13,0.56	-0.09	0.62	-0.03	13	52%	0.72	7	-0.16	3	100%	0.12
Boris Diaw	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	10	71%	0.15	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
James Jones	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	2	78%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	10	54%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Kurt Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	13	61%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.08	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08	0.02	-0.11	-0.01	11	60%	-0.02	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	16	37%	-0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,0.23,0.23	0.23	-0.04	0.26	-0.02	22	53%	0.38	6	-0.14	5	80%	0.03
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	10	64%	0.15	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.22,0.22,0.09	0.09	0.10	-0.00	0.01	10	77%	0.24	2	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01
Joey Graham	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	10	35%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13	-0.13	0.05	-0.18	0.00	12	58%	0.01	1	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	11	27%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	28.0	16.7	26.2	2.3	36.3	134.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +6.4%

PHX +26.4%

PHX +8.7%

PHX +1.8%

PHX +6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	TOR	NBA	PHX	TOR	NBA
this game	13.9	15.8	15.4	103.1	101.0	104.5
season	13.8	15.2		112.2	104.7
opponent	15.4	16.0		104.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	11.0	11.8	15.2	18.8	13.9
TOR	16.1	15.9	14.2	17.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	80	80	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.46	14	-12	26	14.0	13.4	0.58	15.8	15.8	0.05
Boris Diaw	67	68	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.55	1	1	0	14.1	13.3	0.80	16.8	13.5	3.26
Steve Nash	75	75	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.42	5	-3	8	13.7	14.6	-0.97	15.4	17.1	-1.72
Leandro Barbosa	66	64	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.54	0	2	-2	14.2	13.3	0.88	15.6	16.3	-0.71
Raja Bell	80	80	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.17	6	-4	10	14.0	13.5	0.50	15.5	17.4	-1.88
Amar'e Stoudemire	72	72	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.08	2	0	2	13.7	14.5	-0.85	15.8	15.9	-0.16
James Jones	13	14	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.01	-6	8	-14	12.7	14.1	-1.38	15.6	15.8	-0.27
Kurt Thomas	32	32	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.14	-12	14	-26	13.8	13.9	-0.11	16.1	15.6	0.48

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrick Martin	43	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.40	12	-14	26	16.4	15.4	1.02	15.7	12.4	3.34
Joey Graham	17	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	0	-2	14.6	16.1	-1.47	13.7	13.9	-0.18
Morris Peterson	63	64	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.43	9	-11	20	16.3	14.9	1.46	14.0	13.6	0.43
Andrea Bargnani	70	72	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.52	12	-14	26	16.2	14.9	1.27	14.2	13.0	1.14
PJ Tucker	8	8	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.02	-9	7	-16	14.9	15.9	-1.01	12.2	14.0	-1.78
Fred Jones	24	24	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	10	-22	17.6	15.2	2.42	10.7	14.9	-4.17
Rasho Nesterovic	44	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.05	-12	10	-22	16.0	15.6	0.40	13.5	14.2	-0.76
Chris Bosh	85	85	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.47	3	-5	8	15.4	18.8	-3.46	14.0	12.7	1.30
Anthony Parker	77	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.49	3	-5	8	15.2	18.1	-2.89	14.7	10.6	4.08
Jose Calderon	54	54	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	12	-26	15.4	16.4	-1.02	12.4	15.7	-3.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.35,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.08,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.18,0.14,0.37,0.41,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 103, GSW 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.22,0.58,0	92.2%
DEN 106, TOR 103	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.26,0.55,0.32,0.42,0	91.0%
SAC 100, MIN 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.33,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.25,0.22,0.45,0.27,0	90.5%