NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	92		Excitement	5.7 [633]		MVP	Glenn Robinson (ATL): +7.4%
Atlanta Hawks	98		Comeback	1.1 [1168]		LVP	Tyson Chandler (CHI): -15.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trenton Hassell	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	8	69%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	15	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Fred Hoiberg	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.05	0.02	10	58%	-0.01	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Eddy Curry	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	47%	0.01	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	3	12%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jay Williams	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.02	0.01	12	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	4	40%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	23	43%	-0.08	0	0.00	10	80%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	6	0%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	20	60%	0.10	2	-0.03	10	90%	0.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.05	11	52%	0.04	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	67%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	17	52%	0.00	3	-0.07	10	90%	0.02
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	3	50%	0.02	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.7	221.0	8.7	26.1	1.8	40.2	323.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +31.6%

ATL +8.2%

ATL +19.1%

CHI -10.9%

ATL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	NBA	CHI	ATL	NBA
this game	14.9	13.7	15.5	91.1	98.0	101.6
season	15.0	15.1		98.3	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.1		103.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.9	14.8	14.3	14.6	14.9
ATL	10.8	13.4	15.7	15.4	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	20	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-6	6	15.3	14.8	0.52	15.4	13.3	2.16
Eddie Robinson	25	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.19	4	-10	14	16.0	14.6	1.42	15.9	12.9	2.98
Eddy Curry	29	29	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-3	0	16.0	14.5	1.50	11.8	14.5	-2.76
Corie Blount	13	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-4	2	14.6	15.0	-0.36	13.9	13.7	0.16
Tyson Chandler	41	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-1	-4	15.7	14.4	1.27	13.8	13.6	0.19
Marcus Fizer	47	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.24	1	-7	8	14.5	15.3	-0.87	14.2	13.4	0.80
Jay Williams	65	63	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.22	-1	-5	4	14.8	15.1	-0.28	13.0	14.9	-1.90
Jamal Crawford	36	37	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.11	-5	-1	-4	15.1	14.8	0.28	14.9	13.0	1.90
Trenton Hassell	75	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-2	-2	14.6	15.8	-1.23	12.8	16.1	-3.33
Donyell Marshall	70	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.21	-7	1	-8	14.6	15.7	-1.12	14.5	12.0	2.48
Jalen Rose	84	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.25	-8	2	-10	14.7	16.3	-1.64	13.1	16.6	-3.53

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	82	80	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.19	15	-9	24	13.2	16.2	-3.05	15.2	13.7	1.54
Ira Newble	76	77	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.33	8	-2	10	13.7	13.8	-0.15	14.9	15.0	-0.15
Theo Ratliff	66	65	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.16	12	-6	18	13.1	14.9	-1.72	15.6	13.7	1.83
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	64	64	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	-2	10	13.6	13.9	-0.22	15.3	14.3	0.96
Glenn Robinson	80	80	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.33	-1	7	-8	13.5	14.5	-1.04	14.7	15.6	-0.87
Darvin Ham	25	27	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.10	5	1	4	15.7	13.1	2.61	14.7	15.0	-0.31
Dion Glover	16	16	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	2	2	14.9	13.5	1.37	18.4	14.3	4.09
Antonio Harvey	13	13	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	7	-8	10.9	14.1	-3.21	13.8	15.1	-1.24
Alan Henderson	44	45	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.25	-10	16	-26	14.8	12.9	1.88	14.2	15.5	-1.28
Dan Dickau	6	7	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	9	-12	17.3	13.5	3.84	11.0	15.2	-4.22
Emanual Davis	28	31	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.09	-7	13	-20	14.0	13.6	0.44	13.4	15.6	-2.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.76,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.96,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 110, SAC 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.74,0.71,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.96,1,1	95.5%
NOH 94, SAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.83,0.8,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1	95.0%
LAL 87, ATL 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.84,0.91,0.87,0.76,0.85,0.8,0.85,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.98,1,1,1	94.8%