NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	94		Excitement	4.6 [906]		MVP	Boris Diaw (SAS): +13.7%
San Antonio Spurs	99		Comeback	1.2 [1288]		LVP	Ryan Anderson (NOH): -9.7%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.04	13	64%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	7	71%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	73%	0.07	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	52%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Dominic McGuire	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	10	45%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Austin Rivers	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	8	35%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Greivis Vasquez	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.01	-0.03	0.05	15	47%	-0.09	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	15	40%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.03	-0.00	6	86%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.05	0.05	17	62%	0.14	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Nando De Colo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	80%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	11	65%	0.09	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	4	60%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	10	48%	0.03	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.3	23.6	14.8	21.3	2.3	32.3	116.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +51.0%

NOH -2.4%

NOH -3.8%

SAS +4.6%

SAS +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	SAS	NBA	NOH	SAS	NBA
this game	16.2	14.2	15.4	98.9	105.3	104.1
season	16.3	15.2		103.9	106.4
opponent	15.1	15.6		99.5	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.5	17.8	16.5	14.3	16.2
SAS	12.8	13.5	16.3	14.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Xavier Henry	27	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.20	5	-10	15	15.8	16.4	-0.57	15.2	13.9	1.31
Darius Miller	9	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-1	-3	16.8	16.2	0.61	13.1	14.3	-1.22
Roger Mason Jr.	43	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.35	8	-13	21	15.2	17.0	-1.81	14.4	14.1	0.35
Lance Thomas	30	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	1	-7	17.4	15.7	1.67	13.6	14.5	-0.95
Brian Roberts	35	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-2	-1	15.9	16.4	-0.49	13.9	14.4	-0.48
Dominic McGuire	28	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	2	-9	16.2	16.2	-0.01	14.0	14.3	-0.35
Robin Lopez	49	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	0	-5	17.2	15.1	2.11	14.4	14.1	0.34
Greivis Vasquez	60	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.27	-2	-3	1	16.4	15.9	0.49	14.4	13.9	0.48
Ryan Anderson	65	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-6	7	15.7	17.4	-1.67	14.5	13.6	0.95
Austin Rivers	53	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.20	-6	1	-7	16.5	15.9	0.61	14.3	14.2	0.10
Anthony Davis	76	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	1	-7	16.0	17.1	-1.04	13.9	15.7	-1.80

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	61	61	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-8	21	14.8	13.3	1.50	17.0	14.9	2.04
Kawhi Leonard	37	39	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.20	9	-4	13	14.3	14.2	0.09	16.0	16.4	-0.42
Boris Diaw	50	52	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.29	-1	6	-7	13.9	14.6	-0.74	15.6	17.0	-1.47
Danny Green	47	46	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	-2	9	13.9	14.6	-0.79	17.2	15.3	1.93
Tony Parker	61	61	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	7	-9	14.7	13.5	1.17	16.0	16.6	-0.66
Manu Ginobili	45	49	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.30	-3	8	-11	14.8	13.7	1.15	15.6	16.9	-1.26
Gary Neal	44	44	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	2	1	13.6	14.8	-1.14	16.5	15.9	0.60
Nando De Colo	29	27	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.14	1	4	-3	14.1	14.3	-0.20	15.7	16.4	-0.67
Tiago Splitter	55	54	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.16	-1	6	-7	13.7	15.1	-1.38	16.3	16.1	0.13
Matt Bonner	7	7	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	3	-1	15.9	14.1	1.74	17.4	16.1	1.30
Stephen Jackson	34	35	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.11	-3	8	-11	14.3	14.2	0.03	15.8	16.5	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.83,0.8,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 91, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.99,1,1,1	95.1%
CHI 92, ATL 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.76,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.96,0.99,1	95.0%
DEN 110, SAC 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.74,0.71,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.96,1,1	94.6%