NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	87		Excitement	5.3 [762]		MVP	Lou Williams (LAL): +12.4%
Atlanta Hawks	100		Comeback	1.0 [1279]		LVP	D'Angelo Russell (LAL): -11.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.01	13	60%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	-0.01	8	81%	0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	5	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	12	31%	-0.06	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.04	-0.06	19	33%	-0.07	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
D'Angelo Russell	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.04	-0.03	16	50%	0.04	7	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	9	64%	0.16	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.02	10	62%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	9	65%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.00	12	56%	0.12	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	62%	0.09	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	2.5	26.7	15.7	23.2	2.4	30.2	121.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +53.7%

ATL +5.5%

ATL +1.5%

LAL -12.7%

ATL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	ATL	NBA	LAL	ATL	NBA
this game	16.7	14.7	14.9	94.6	108.7	105.1
season	15.2	14.2		100.1	104.1
opponent	15.1	14.5		100.3	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.6	16.8	16.4	15.9	16.7
ATL	14.4	13.8	17.1	13.6	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Nance Jr.	39	38	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.27	14	-27	41	16.4	16.8	-0.38	15.0	14.4	0.55
Jordan Clarkson	52	52	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.17	6	-19	25	16.8	16.4	0.45	16.0	12.9	3.01
Metta World Peace	24	24	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-15	17	15.3	17.1	-1.78	15.7	14.3	1.37
Roy Hibbert	43	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	-5	-3	18.4	15.1	3.32	14.3	15.0	-0.68
Brandon Bass	49	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-8	3	15.1	18.4	-3.32	15.0	14.3	0.68
Lou Williams	62	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	-2	-9	15.9	18.3	-2.45	13.9	16.2	-2.28
Kobe Bryant	68	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	2	-17	17.1	15.3	1.78	14.3	15.7	-1.37
Julius Randle	53	54	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	0.15	-27	14	-41	16.8	16.4	0.38	14.4	15.0	-0.55
D'Angelo Russell	70	71	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.04	-21	8	-29	17.2	14.9	2.35	14.4	15.7	-1.31

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Horford	63	65	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.08	16	-3	19	14.9	14.2	0.65	16.7	16.5	0.24
Kyle Korver	62	62	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	0	13	13.5	17.0	-3.43	17.8	14.3	3.54
Kent Bazemore	49	51	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.05	12	1	11	14.9	14.4	0.44	15.0	18.7	-3.66
Jeff Teague	58	58	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	5	3	15.9	12.6	3.27	16.6	16.8	-0.18
Mike Scott	35	34	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.02	11	2	9	12.1	16.2	-4.14	16.8	16.6	0.18
Paul Millsap	63	63	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	5	3	15.5	12.7	2.82	17.0	15.9	1.15
Thabo Sefolosha	60	59	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	10	-7	15.5	13.0	2.58	17.1	15.9	1.11
Dennis Schroder	34	34	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	8	-3	12.6	15.9	-3.27	16.8	16.6	0.18
Lamar Patterson	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	15.1	14.6	0.49	15.7	16.8	-1.13
Mike Muscala	23	22	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.13	-9	22	-31	15.6	14.3	1.22	15.2	17.1	-1.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.84,0.91,0.87,0.76,0.85,0.8,0.85,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 92, ATL 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.76,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.96,0.99,1	94.8%
IND 112, TOR 123	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.85,0.92,0.84,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%
POR 83, HOU 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.84,0.87,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.95,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,1	94.4%