inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 83 Excitement5.2 [774] MVPRudy Fernandez (POR): +24.2%
Houston Rockets 86 Comeback1.2 [1038] LVPTravis Outlaw (POR): -15.7%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rudy Fernandez0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.240.150.100.01994%0.281-0.0400%0.00
Steve Blake0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.030.08-0.020.031173%0.112-0.0800%0.00
Channing Frye0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.00550%0.0200.002100%0.01
Joel Przybilla0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Nicolas Batum-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Greg Oden-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.020.00560%0.021-0.0300%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge-0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08-0.090.010.001543%0.014-0.0900%0.00
Brandon Roy-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14-0.05-0.080.011843%-0.053-0.09887%0.02
Travis Outlaw-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16-0.12-0.05-0.011118%-0.141-0.0200%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shane Battier0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.140.140.070.06-0.001073%0.212-0.072100%0.01
Luis Scola0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.110.110.070.03-0.021558%0.121-0.013100%0.01
Carl Landry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.07-0.000.00771%0.0600.0000%0.00
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.02-0.00280%0.081-0.02667%-0.01
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.050.05-0.040.07-0.031137%0.0500.00862%0.01
Charles Hayes00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Metta World Peace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01850%0.044-0.092100%0.01
Von Wafer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.00933%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Yao Ming0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.01741%-0.033-0.053100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.53.630.619.626.13.840.0150.3
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +11.3%
HOU +10.6%
HOU +15.4%
HOU +7.4%
HOU +5.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORHOUNBAPORHOUNBA
this game16.917.015.595.4103.6106.4
season16.716.3111.0105.9
opponent15.216.0102.7105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR15.519.317.515.716.9
HOU19.015.017.616.417.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Travis Outlaw5756-0.07-0.430.37-0.4513-162916.417.9-1.4816.917.1-0.18
Channing Frye1817-0.12-0.380.26-0.03-30-317.616.80.7915.517.3-1.79
Greg Oden3236-0.13-0.370.24-0.378-111917.516.60.8518.715.63.13
Nicolas Batum2120-0.20-0.300.100.12-118-1916.317.1-0.7914.517.7-3.23
LaMarcus Aldridge7974-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.463-6916.916.70.2017.413.24.18
Rudy Fernandez4441-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.26-41-516.117.8-1.7514.519.3-4.77
Steve Blake7369-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.442-5716.220.5-4.2517.414.92.43
Brandon Roy7169-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.28-52-718.012.45.5817.613.64.07
Joel Przybilla4033-0.43-0.07-0.360.10-1815-3317.616.41.2417.016.90.13

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shane Battier76810.430.070.370.4012-117.214.62.6016.621.0-4.37
Yao Ming59620.430.070.360.3721118.214.04.1517.216.30.86
Luis Scola57600.420.080.330.246-3917.216.50.6616.917.0-0.05
Metta World Peace65660.330.170.160.42-36-917.514.82.7116.817.4-0.59
Aaron Brooks54570.320.180.140.38-25-717.915.22.6316.218.4-2.19
Carl Landry39390.260.240.010.086-3916.617.2-0.5918.415.82.59
Von Wafer26280.230.27-0.04-0.018-51314.218.2-3.9617.616.61.05
Kyle Lowry33340.170.33-0.160.1703-313.619.1-5.5016.916.90.02
Charles Hayes68-0.080.58-0.670.00-36-917.816.90.9515.217.1-1.85


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.84,0.87,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.95,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 87, MEM 950.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,194.8%
CHI 92, ATL 980.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.76,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.96,0.99,194.6%
HOU 91, MIN 1000.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,194.5%