NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	107		Excitement	1.7 [1255]		MVP	Chris Webber (SAC): +9.5%
Detroit Pistons	86		Comeback	1.0 [864]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): -9.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.01	16	74%	0.10	3	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Doug Christie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	8	69%	0.07	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.08	10	50%	0.03	2	-0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Mike Bibby	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	12	56%	0.02	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	9	68%	0.03	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Chucky Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	7	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.12	0.00	-0.10	10	35%	-0.02	2	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	6	75%	0.03	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	61%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	70%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	70%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Victor Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	6	29%	0.00	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	12	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	-0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	0.00	0.00	9	22%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.16	0.00	-0.06	11	46%	-0.04	7	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	27.5	16.5	30.2	2.7	24.3	128.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +34.8%

SAC +0.1%

SAC +4.5%

SAC +9.9%

SAC +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DET	NBA	SAC	DET	NBA
this game	15.1	14.3	15.6	109.2	87.8	102.3
season	14.2	15.7		106.6	101.9
opponent	15.8	15.5		99.8	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.6	15.0	15.8	16.0	15.1
DET	16.4	13.8	12.5	14.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	67	68	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.33	29	-8	37	14.9	15.6	-0.72	14.7	13.3	1.39
Chris Webber	87	88	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.23	25	-4	29	15.5	12.5	3.01	14.5	11.9	2.63
Hedo Turkoglu	74	75	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.15	19	2	17	15.7	13.4	2.31	14.9	12.3	2.51
Mike Bibby	74	74	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.21	20	1	19	15.6	13.6	2.04	14.1	14.7	-0.53
Vlade Divac	58	59	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.22	20	1	19	14.7	15.8	-1.10	13.8	14.9	-1.14
Scot Pollard	34	34	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	21	-21	16.7	14.3	2.38	15.7	13.5	2.21
Bobby Jackson	44	44	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	24	-27	15.3	15.0	0.31	14.4	14.2	0.18
Gerald Wallace	24	23	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	19	-17	13.4	15.7	-2.31	12.3	14.9	-2.51
Chucky Brown	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	20	-19	10.7	15.4	-4.75	9.8	14.5	-4.71
Lawrence Funderburke	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	25	-29	12.5	15.5	-3.01	11.9	14.5	-2.63
Mateen Cleaves	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	25	-29	12.5	15.5	-3.01	11.9	14.5	-2.63

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney White	31	32	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.37	14	-35	49	13.8	14.5	-0.67	15.6	14.9	0.65
Victor Alexander	16	15	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.03	1	-22	23	13.1	14.5	-1.44	13.7	15.4	-1.64
Mikki Moore	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-23	25	13.7	14.4	-0.66	13.5	15.4	-1.83
Damon Jones	48	46	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.32	10	-31	41	13.7	14.8	-1.17	15.7	14.6	1.16
Zeljko Rebraca	33	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.18	5	-26	31	13.3	14.7	-1.41	16.1	14.6	1.51
Jon Barry	44	46	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.20	4	-25	29	13.6	14.8	-1.14	15.3	15.0	0.34
Corliss Williamson	37	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-23	25	13.2	14.9	-1.77	16.4	14.3	2.14
Michael Curry	48	46	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.32	-25	4	-29	15.3	13.3	1.97	14.5	15.7	-1.21
Jerry Stackhouse	57	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.39	-28	7	-35	14.4	14.1	0.20	15.2	15.0	0.13
Clifford Robinson	51	50	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.33	-27	6	-33	15.2	13.3	1.86	14.7	15.5	-0.78
Chucky Atkins	50	52	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.43	-31	10	-41	14.8	13.7	1.17	14.6	15.7	-1.16
Ben Wallace	62	62	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.40	-32	11	-43	14.9	13.1	1.82	14.8	15.6	-0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 109, SEA 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%
SAS 118, GSW 89	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
DEN 121, NOH 63	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%