NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	109		Excitement	2.2 [1276]		MVP	Andris Biedrins (GSW): +7.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	96		Comeback	1.0 [1057]		LVP	Kevin Durant (SEA): -9.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andris Biedrins	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	0.00	0.05	12	72%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Al Harrington	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.03	15	62%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Monta Ellis	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.01	15	56%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Baron Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.12	16	39%	0.04	3	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Kelenna Azubuike	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	13	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	4	10%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	19	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.01	13	53%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Mouhamed Sene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	8	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	12	42%	-0.01	2	-0.01	7	43%	-0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	10	50%	-0.03	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Delonte West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.00	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0.04	12	55%	-0.02	4	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.16	0.00	-0.07	12	23%	-0.06	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	37.6	1.7	25.2	14.6	29.2	1.7	29.3	139.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +40.1%

SEA -2.3%

GSW +8.1%

GSW +4.3%

SEA -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SEA	NBA	GSW	SEA	NBA
this game	13.7	13.4	15.4	101.9	90.6	105.7
season	13.5	14.5		109.8	99.1
opponent	15.0	15.1		107.9	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.2	16.3	13.1	14.3	13.7
SEA	15.4	12.5	13.1	12.3	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monta Ellis	70	69	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.27	26	-13	39	12.5	15.8	-3.29	14.2	11.7	2.54
Stephen Jackson	82	81	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.32	27	-14	41	13.1	15.4	-2.29	14.0	11.4	2.51
Andris Biedrins	64	64	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.25	23	-10	33	12.2	15.8	-3.56	13.4	13.2	0.20
Al Harrington	68	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.34	25	-12	37	13.1	14.7	-1.59	14.0	12.1	1.85
Baron Davis	68	68	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.33	24	-11	35	13.0	14.9	-1.87	13.8	12.6	1.26
Kelenna Azubuike	61	60	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.40	-9	22	-31	15.1	11.8	3.22	12.4	14.7	-2.29
Matt Barnes	47	46	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.52	-14	27	-41	14.6	13.0	1.55	12.4	14.1	-1.75
Austin Croshere	16	16	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	10	-7	16.6	13.2	3.46	14.8	13.1	1.71
Mickael Pietrus	3	2	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	13	-13	13.7	13.7	-0.02	3.5	13.5	-10.05
DJ Mbenga	27	26	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.39	-13	26	-39	15.3	13.1	2.21	12.3	13.7	-1.44
Troy Hudson	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.44	-15	28	-43	16.5	13.2	3.24	11.2	13.7	-2.51
Brandan Wright	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	25	-37	16.7	13.2	3.49	11.3	13.6	-2.34

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mouhamed Sene	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-23	33	12.4	13.5	-1.11	16.3	13.4	2.89
Mickael Gelabale	40	41	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.37	10	-23	33	12.6	13.8	-1.26	15.1	12.8	2.29
Johan Petro	31	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-9	5	13.4	13.3	0.04	14.0	13.5	0.50
Wally Szczerbiak	57	58	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.31	5	-18	23	12.9	13.9	-1.00	14.0	13.3	0.66
Jeff Green	58	58	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-16	19	13.9	12.7	1.11	14.6	12.6	2.05
Earl Watson	69	69	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	-5	-3	13.3	13.5	-0.24	14.4	12.4	2.04
Damien Wilkins	50	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-4	-5	12.6	14.0	-1.40	13.4	13.9	-0.52
Kurt Thomas	43	43	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.15	-15	2	-17	13.4	13.3	0.06	13.4	13.9	-0.48
Delonte West	43	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	-5	-3	13.5	13.3	0.22	12.7	14.4	-1.70
Chris Wilcox	70	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.22	-21	8	-29	13.7	12.7	0.92	13.2	14.6	-1.39
Kevin Durant	58	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.39	-28	15	-43	14.3	12.3	1.99	11.7	16.1	-4.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 107, DET 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%
DEN 123, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
ATL 101, VAN 76	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%