NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	101		Excitement	2.3 [1207]		MVP	Mookie Blaylock (ATL): +12.5%
Vancouver Grizzlies	76		Comeback	1.0 [1159]		LVP	Blue Edwards (VAN): -8.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mookie Blaylock	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.00	0.02	13	77%	0.13	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	62%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	13	55%	0.00	0	0.00	7	86%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	39%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	61%	0.01	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Drew Barry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	2	75%	0.00	4	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brian Oliver	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	7	12%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Tyrone Corbin	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.13	0.00	-0.08	8	33%	-0.02	4	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	18	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.02

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	0.00	0.09	9	80%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Michael Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	14	57%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.11	0.00	-0.09	14	44%	-0.01	4	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	5	17%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	6	25%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	9	32%	-0.05	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.16	0.00	-0.09	14	31%	-0.04	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	0.00	-0.04	10	20%	-0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.5	28.2	16.6	25.0	2.4	24.5	121.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +27.1%

ATL +3.3%

ATL +4.0%

ATL +13.9%

ATL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	VAN	NBA	ATL	VAN	NBA
this game	14.7	15.1	15.6	105.2	78.4	102.5
season	16.1	15.1		105.3	101.3
opponent	15.3	16.0		109.1	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.7	14.9	13.3	15.9	14.7
VAN	16.7	14.5	16.7	12.9	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Henderson	62	64	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.30	26	-1	27	14.6	14.8	-0.18	15.7	14.1	1.63
Mookie Blaylock	65	66	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.55	33	-8	41	13.8	16.6	-2.81	16.0	13.3	2.66
Dikembe Mutombo	59	59	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.53	32	-7	39	13.7	16.3	-2.59	15.7	14.2	1.56
Chucky Brown	64	64	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.38	26	-1	27	14.4	15.3	-0.86	16.1	13.2	2.96
Tyrone Corbin	49	49	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.38	25	0	25	13.8	15.7	-1.86	16.2	14.1	2.08
Christian Laettner	42	41	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.34	17	8	9	13.4	15.7	-2.32	16.2	14.3	1.92
Brian Oliver	40	41	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	27	-29	16.1	13.7	2.39	13.5	16.4	-2.89
Greg Anderson	21	22	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.32	-8	33	-41	17.9	13.8	4.09	12.9	15.8	-2.94
Drew Barry	38	38	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.26	-6	31	-37	16.0	13.9	2.09	14.1	15.8	-1.65
Chris Crawford	22	23	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	34	-43	16.0	14.3	1.62	12.7	15.9	-3.25
Anthony Miller	18	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	34	-43	17.0	14.2	2.82	11.0	16.1	-5.08

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Massenburg	20	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.22	4	-29	33	12.1	15.9	-3.76	16.2	14.4	1.81
George Lynch	52	51	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.11	-8	-17	9	14.9	15.4	-0.41	14.8	14.6	0.12
Antonio Daniels	60	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.21	-15	-10	-5	14.7	15.8	-1.09	14.5	15.1	-0.65
Pete Chilcutt	56	55	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.28	-18	-7	-11	14.9	15.4	-0.44	14.0	15.6	-1.62
Michael Smith	47	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.35	-22	-3	-19	16.2	14.2	2.01	13.7	15.7	-1.93
Lee Mayberry	65	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.32	-22	-3	-19	15.7	14.0	1.65	13.9	16.4	-2.43
Bryant Reeves	57	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.16	-17	-8	-9	15.9	14.0	1.84	15.7	13.1	2.61
Blue Edwards	45	44	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	-9	-7	15.8	14.6	1.16	15.0	14.5	0.50
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	62	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.21	-23	-2	-21	15.7	14.1	1.60	15.1	14.0	1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 109, SEA 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
CHI 118, BKN 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
MIN 123, ORL 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%