NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	123		Excitement	2.2 [1262]		MVP	Zach LaVine (MIN): +14.0%
Orlando Magic	107		Comeback	1.0 [651]		LVP	Aaron Gordon (ORL): -3.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.30	0.00	0.16	22	79%	0.14	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.01	0.02	18	64%	0.11	2	-0.02	9	78%	0.02
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	16	54%	0.06	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Shabazz Muhammad	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	6	68%	0.05	1	-0.01	7	57%	-0.01
Tyus Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	9	67%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adreian Payne	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	6	59%	0.03	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	8	61%	0.02	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	0.00	0.07	14	62%	0.03	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
CJ Wilcox	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Zimmerman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	67%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Damjan Rudez	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	53%	0.02	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	8	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.11	-0.00	0.12	19	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	11	52%	-0.01	2	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	9	32%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.4	30.5	15.6	25.7	2.6	32.4	138.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +39.8%

MIN +0.6%

MIN +6.7%

MIN +0.7%

MIN +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	ORL	NBA	MIN	ORL	NBA
this game	16.4	14.8	14.8	133.7	115.1	107.7
season	15.3	14.6		109.3	103.0
opponent	14.9	14.7		109.8	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.6	14.4	19.2	16.7	16.4
ORL	15.7	15.6	16.0	12.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl-Anthony Towns	76	76	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.19	22	-6	28	16.7	14.6	2.10	15.2	12.8	2.47
Andrew Wiggins	71	73	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.17	21	-5	26	16.9	14.5	2.38	15.1	13.5	1.64
Gorgui Dieng	67	69	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	4	8	16.5	16.1	0.38	14.9	14.6	0.27
Tyus Jones	59	60	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.23	19	-3	22	15.4	18.0	-2.56	15.1	14.2	0.93
Zach LaVine	69	68	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	10	-4	16.6	15.6	1.00	15.2	13.6	1.62
Shabazz Muhammad	38	39	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.10	12	4	8	15.2	17.1	-1.91	15.1	14.6	0.50
Kris Dunn	33	33	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.26	-3	19	-22	18.0	15.4	2.56	14.2	15.1	-0.93
Cole Aldrich	23	22	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	13	-10	16.0	16.5	-0.42	15.5	14.6	0.88
Nemanja Bjelica	16	17	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.22	-6	22	-28	14.6	16.7	-2.10	12.8	15.2	-2.47
John Lucas III	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	14.7	16.4	-1.68	4.0	15.3	-11.27
Adreian Payne	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	14.7	16.4	-1.68	4.0	15.3	-11.27

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Wilcox	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	8.1	15.4	-7.29	15.9	16.4	-0.53
Stephen Zimmerman	8	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	8.1	15.4	-7.29	16.0	16.4	-0.39
Damjan Rudez	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	8.1	15.4	-7.29	15.9	16.4	-0.53
CJ Watson	13	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-14	12	11.8	15.3	-3.51	15.9	16.4	-0.51
Mario Hezonja	29	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.07	-2	-14	12	13.0	15.6	-2.54	16.7	16.2	0.43
Serge Ibaka	50	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-14	12	14.8	14.8	-0.05	17.0	15.5	1.52
Elfrid Payton	53	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.24	0	-16	16	15.4	14.0	1.38	16.3	16.5	-0.22
D.J. Augustin	35	36	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	-6	-4	15.4	14.4	1.03	16.3	16.4	-0.09
Nikola Vucevic	61	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-12	8	15.3	13.9	1.39	16.5	16.1	0.44
Jeff Green	40	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.05	-12	-4	-8	15.7	14.1	1.65	15.2	17.3	-2.05
Aaron Gordon	61	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-5	-6	15.1	14.2	0.96	16.3	16.4	-0.08
Bismack Biyombo	48	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	0	-16	16.1	13.4	2.68	15.8	17.0	-1.14
Evan Fournier	51	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.15	-18	2	-20	15.7	13.6	2.08	17.2	15.2	2.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 123, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
GSW 105, DAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
ORL 115, NYK 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%