NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	105		Excitement	2.5 [1235]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +12.9%
Dallas Mavericks	98		Comeback	1.0 [789]		LVP	Monta Ellis (DAL): -5.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.00	-0.04	21	60%	0.16	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.16	0.00	0.07	8	77%	0.09	1	-0.00	10	80%	0.01
Stephen Curry	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	22	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	11	55%	0.03	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	6	50%	0.03	3	-0.02	6	50%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ognjen Kuzmic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	6	17%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	7	29%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	55%	0.03	2	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	8	65%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	3	78%	-0.01	1	-0.00	3	100%	-0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.03	7	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	7	37%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.00	0.05	20	55%	-0.00	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	7	35%	-0.04	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	22	47%	-0.02	3	-0.03	7	86%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.3	29.6	17.4	28.6	2.6	39.0	145.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +44.8%

GSW +4.6%

DAL -1.8%

GSW +1.1%

GSW +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	DAL	NBA	GSW	DAL	NBA
this game	14.3	14.6	15.1	105.0	99.0	104.2
season	13.6	14.6		109.2	107.6
opponent	15.0	15.5		105.0	99.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.0	14.2	16.0	14.3	14.3
DAL	17.0	14.6	14.6	12.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	79	78	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.03	13	-6	19	14.1	15.2	-1.08	14.2	16.0	-1.77
Andre Iguodala	58	58	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	1	5	14.3	14.4	-0.03	14.9	14.2	0.62
Festus Ezeli	33	33	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	-7	21	14.7	14.2	0.49	17.0	13.4	3.64
Klay Thompson	86	85	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.53	-7	14	-21	14.5	13.6	0.89	14.5	15.4	-0.87
Draymond Green	77	77	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.26	2	5	-3	14.3	14.4	-0.12	14.7	14.3	0.43
Harrison Barnes	70	69	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.35	-2	9	-11	14.8	13.2	1.58	14.2	15.5	-1.23
Shaun Livingston	45	44	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.18	3	4	-1	14.0	14.6	-0.66	14.5	14.7	-0.11
Marreese Speights	39	39	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	1	5	14.1	14.5	-0.43	14.8	14.5	0.27
Brandon Rush	10	9	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	4	-1	12.7	14.5	-1.82	12.0	14.9	-2.87
Ognjen Kuzmic	3	3	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	10	-13	17.3	14.2	3.09	9.0	14.8	-5.78

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandan Wright	27	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.29	6	-13	19	13.3	15.1	-1.85	13.7	14.6	-0.92
Al-Farouq Aminu	15	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-3	-1	16.9	14.2	2.66	14.7	14.3	0.38
Jose Juan Barea	36	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-5	3	14.9	14.5	0.40	14.0	14.5	-0.48
Jae Crowder	46	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	2	-11	14.0	15.1	-1.09	13.2	15.3	-2.09
Dirk Nowitzki	66	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.39	5	-12	17	14.7	14.5	0.23	15.2	12.8	2.37
Jameer Nelson	56	58	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.34	3	-10	13	14.7	14.5	0.17	14.2	14.5	-0.32
Devin Harris	47	46	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.22	-18	11	-29	14.6	14.6	-0.02	14.1	14.6	-0.47
Monta Ellis	69	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-6	5	14.5	14.8	-0.23	14.6	13.6	1.01
Richard Jefferson	72	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-3	-1	14.4	15.0	-0.59	14.3	14.5	-0.27
Tyson Chandler	61	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.05	-11	4	-15	15.1	13.9	1.20	14.8	13.7	1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 123, ORL 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
ORL 115, NYK 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
PHI 112, SAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%