NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	101		Excitement	4.1 [984]		MVP	Doug Christie (SAC): +7.2%
Houston Rockets	74		Comeback	1.0 [1016]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): -10.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Christie	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.01	11	74%	0.11	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	18	51%	0.06	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.08	9	35%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chucky Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	14	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vlade Divac	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	10	50%	-0.04
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	9	45%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Bibby	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	12	46%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	6	31%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Oscar Torres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Jason Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	5	45%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Terence Morris	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.13	0.02	-0.07	17	43%	-0.01	3	-0.04	12	83%	0.01
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	12	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	13	27%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	-0.01	-0.05	5	0%	-0.06	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.15	-0.00	-0.05	19	41%	-0.05	4	-0.05	8	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	3.5	35.3	15.8	29.2	2.7	22.2	132.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +30.8%

HOU -1.1%

SAC +6.8%

SAC +10.9%

SAC +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	HOU	NBA	SAC	HOU	NBA
this game	13.7	15.8	15.6	104.1	75.5	102.3
season	14.2	16.8		106.6	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.5		106.4	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.0	12.4	14.5	15.0	13.7
HOU	14.7	16.9	16.1	15.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	65	65	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.00	17	10	7	13.1	15.0	-1.88	15.8	15.8	0.04
Vlade Divac	65	65	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.12	20	7	13	13.4	14.2	-0.80	15.8	15.8	-0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	60	60	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	11	5	13.2	14.5	-1.30	15.5	16.3	-0.82
Chris Webber	61	62	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.11	15	12	3	13.6	13.9	-0.33	16.5	14.6	1.91
Doug Christie	75	76	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.24	19	8	11	13.8	13.3	0.51	16.0	15.3	0.64
Bobby Jackson	48	48	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.28	17	10	7	13.7	13.7	-0.01	16.3	15.4	0.93
Scot Pollard	50	52	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.36	18	9	9	13.9	13.6	0.31	15.0	16.7	-1.66
Gerald Wallace	37	38	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.26	11	16	-5	14.5	13.2	1.30	16.3	15.5	0.82
Chucky Brown	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	26	-25	15.7	13.4	2.33	14.2	16.0	-1.78
Mateen Cleaves	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	26	-25	15.7	13.4	2.33	14.2	16.0	-1.78

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tierre Brown	14	14	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-30	33	14.4	16.1	-1.70	16.0	13.3	2.67
Oscar Torres	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-30	33	10.7	16.2	-5.49	14.0	13.7	0.31
Dan Langhi	41	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.32	-15	-12	-3	15.4	16.1	-0.69	14.5	13.2	1.34
Jason Collier	37	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-21	15	14.6	16.6	-1.96	14.1	13.5	0.58
Terence Morris	47	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-23	19	16.1	15.5	0.64	13.8	13.6	0.24
Kelvin Cato	37	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-20	13	16.5	15.4	1.12	13.6	13.8	-0.17
Moochie Norris	36	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.25	-16	-11	-5	17.0	15.1	1.83	13.0	14.1	-1.09
Eddie Griffin	43	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.32	-21	-6	-15	16.0	15.6	0.41	13.4	14.0	-0.55
Kenny Thomas	78	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.25	-22	-5	-17	15.9	15.5	0.33	13.7	13.8	-0.17
Steve Francis	66	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.21	-23	-4	-19	15.7	16.2	-0.50	13.7	13.7	0.08
Cuttino Mobley	84	83	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.25	-27	0	-27	16.2	13.6	2.54	13.2	16.6	-3.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.11,0.16,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 103, LAC 73	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
MIA 92, DET 65	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
TOR 115, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0	96.2%