inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 92 Excitement2.9 [1191] MVPUdonis Haslem (MIA): +7.1%
Detroit Pistons 65 Comeback1.0 [854] LVPRodney Stuckey (DET): -13.2%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Udonis Haslem0.070,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.00-0.011262%0.0710.002100%0.01
Dwyane Wade0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.120.010.061176%0.133-0.06757%-0.03
Dorell Wright0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.09-0.000.03786%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Daequan Cook0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.01757%0.0300.0000%0.00
Mario Chalmers0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jamaal Magloire0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05320%0.0000.00450%-0.01
Carlos Arroyo0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.080.00-0.08450%0.0040.0000%0.00
James Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021150%0.0010.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony-0.000,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.03267%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Quentin Richardson-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.020.000.03750%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.00-0.031142%0.003-0.052100%0.00
Rafer Alston-0.080,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.12-0.00-0.04714%-0.042-0.0400%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ben Wallace0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01560%0.0200.0000%0.00
Chris Wilcox0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.00-0.00747%0.0200.001100%0.01
Charlie Villanueva0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.011158%0.032-0.02450%0.00
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Austin Daye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ben Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.01662%0.042-0.044100%0.01
Kwame Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.00-0.05112%-0.0000.00617%-0.00
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jonas Jerebko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00450%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.000.04950%-0.031-0.022100%0.01
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.021429%-0.081-0.0100%0.00
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.12-0.02-0.01629%-0.054-0.092100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.12.527.417.426.62.527.4130.9
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +39.0%
DET -2.9%
MIA +11.8%
MIA +0.8%
MIA +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIADETNBAMIADETNBA
this game17.817.315.3110.880.2106.0
season16.216.8104.4104.0
opponent15.215.4109.8102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.820.316.018.617.8
DET19.317.616.715.717.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jermaine O'Neal43420.430.070.36-0.152071317.917.80.1317.417.20.18
Rafer Alston48470.400.100.29-0.312432116.719.3-2.5918.415.82.60
Quentin Richardson36340.290.210.07-0.211710717.518.1-0.6117.916.81.15
Dwyane Wade43410.260.240.03-0.181512316.419.4-3.0017.916.61.33
Daequan Cook40400.240.26-0.03-0.111215-319.416.43.0016.617.9-1.33
Joel Anthony39370.220.28-0.07-0.05918-917.817.9-0.0916.717.7-1.05
Dorell Wright36350.210.29-0.07-0.081017-718.017.70.2318.816.12.64
Udonis Haslem45430.190.31-0.13-0.251512318.217.50.6818.016.51.50
Jamaal Magloire39400.170.34-0.17-0.131017-717.518.2-0.7216.917.6-0.64
Mario Chalmers19180.100.40-0.290.02324-2118.517.60.8917.417.20.15
Carlos Arroyo16160.000.50-0.500.00027-2720.317.33.0613.918.1-4.15
James Jones11120.000.50-0.500.00027-2718.517.70.8111.018.4-7.36

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jonas Jerebko33310.02-0.520.530.07-2-252313.919.6-5.6216.518.6-2.07
Austin Daye12120.00-0.500.500.000-272711.018.4-7.3619.317.61.74
Kwame Brown2727-0.02-0.480.470.19-7-201315.118.4-3.2416.618.4-1.85
Chucky Atkins2928-0.06-0.440.380.06-4-231913.819.2-5.4215.818.9-3.05
Jason Maxiell1314-0.15-0.350.190.02-6-211516.817.4-0.6015.218.4-3.16
Charlie Villanueva5050-0.19-0.310.110.28-16-11-515.919.5-3.5316.919.2-2.27
Ben Gordon2426-0.24-0.260.020.17-14-13-115.318.1-2.7515.418.9-3.52
Chris Wilcox3133-0.31-0.19-0.110.02-11-16519.515.93.5319.216.92.27
Ben Wallace4142-0.33-0.17-0.160.08-14-13-118.915.63.2019.516.13.40
Rodney Stuckey4749-0.36-0.14-0.230.16-18-9-919.713.95.8918.516.91.63
Tayshaun Prince4648-0.37-0.13-0.250.21-20-7-1319.314.64.7519.215.93.34
Richard Hamilton5255-0.48-0.02-0.450.20-23-4-1919.613.16.5518.616.42.24


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 109, CLE 900.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.0%
SAC 101, HOU 740.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.11,0.16,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.5%
TOR 113, ATL 960.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.4%