NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	103		Excitement	3.4 [1100]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (DET): +15.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	73		Comeback	1.0 [1156]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): -11.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.17	0.00	0.01	9	89%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	-0.00	18	58%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Juan Dixon	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	7	100%	0.09	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	13	48%	0.07	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Amir Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter Herrmann	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	44%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	83%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.03	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	8	47%	0.04	3	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Antonio McDyess	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	4	67%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Andre Barrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Fazekas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	0.01	-0.09	8	35%	-0.01	3	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	15	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	14	79%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Chris Kaman	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.01	0.02	17	34%	-0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.7	28.5	15.8	28.2	1.8	27.0	128.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +52.3%

DET +0.1%

LAC -6.4%

DET +5.6%

LAC -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	LAC	NBA	DET	LAC	NBA
this game	15.9	16.3	15.4	114.4	82.0	105.7
season	16.8	15.6		108.8	99.5
opponent	15.1	15.8		106.8	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.0	14.8	16.9	15.7	15.9
LAC	17.4	17.3	15.0	15.6	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	62	62	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.05	21	9	12	15.6	16.4	-0.78	16.7	15.4	1.37
Rasheed Wallace	46	47	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.03	18	12	6	15.9	15.8	0.12	17.5	15.0	2.47
Amir Johnson	46	44	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.40	25	5	20	15.2	16.6	-1.39	15.0	17.6	-2.58
Juan Dixon	45	44	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.39	23	7	16	15.4	16.3	-0.91	14.9	17.8	-2.89
Rodney Stuckey	45	45	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.01	7	23	-16	16.3	15.4	0.91	17.8	14.9	2.89
Jarvis Hayes	38	37	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.35	18	12	6	16.0	15.8	0.20	15.6	16.8	-1.16
Arron Afflalo	32	31	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.37	17	13	4	15.6	16.0	-0.41	14.3	17.4	-3.17
Richard Hamilton	48	48	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	26	-22	16.2	15.4	0.85	17.6	14.8	2.87
Jason Maxiell	40	40	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.09	7	23	-16	15.6	16.1	-0.51	15.5	17.0	-1.41
Antonio McDyess	38	38	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	31	-32	17.7	14.5	3.21	17.5	15.5	2.00
Walter Herrmann	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.32	11	19	-8	12.8	16.2	-3.44	15.2	16.4	-1.23

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Barrett	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.32	-11	-19	8	15.2	16.4	-1.23	12.8	16.2	-3.44
Nick Fazekas	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.32	-11	-19	8	15.2	16.4	-1.23	12.8	16.2	-3.44
Aaron Williams	21	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.05	0	-30	30	14.0	17.1	-3.11	15.9	15.8	0.07
Josh Powell	61	61	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.34	-16	-14	-2	17.1	14.5	2.61	15.9	15.8	0.09
Quinton Ross	28	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.39	-19	-11	-8	14.5	17.1	-2.61	14.4	16.5	-2.18
Dan Dickau	30	30	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.14	-13	-17	4	16.2	16.4	-0.19	16.5	15.5	0.92
Brevin Knight	50	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-24	18	16.6	16.0	0.63	16.1	15.5	0.55
Al Thornton	57	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.39	-25	-5	-20	15.5	17.7	-2.17	15.5	16.4	-0.85
Cuttino Mobley	51	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.12	-17	-13	-4	17.1	15.2	1.90	16.4	15.2	1.24
Corey Maggette	70	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	-17	4	16.4	16.1	0.35	16.3	14.2	2.15
Chris Kaman	59	60	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.04	-19	-11	-8	17.3	14.4	2.91	16.3	14.9	1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 101, HOU 74	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.11,0.16,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
CLE 104, MIN 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
MIA 117, HOU 109	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0,0	96.6%