NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	103		Excitement	6.1 [595]		MVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): +23.4%
Utah Jazz	112		Comeback	1.6 [1096]		LVP	Adonal Foyle (GSW): -12.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Hughes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	8	75%	0.14	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Bob Sura	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	62%	0.05	0	0.00	14	86%	0.06
Troy Murphy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	2	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
Antawn Jamison	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.10	-0.07	0.05	20	62%	0.00	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03
Gilbert Arenas	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Fortson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	8	39%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Richardson	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.00	16	48%	0.04	5	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	8	22%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.09	0.00	10	87%	0.27	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.08	-0.02	7	71%	0.15	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Donyell Marshall	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.01	0.02	18	69%	0.15	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	0.00	3	83%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rusty LaRue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	6	23%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	18	52%	0.00	3	-0.08	10	80%	0.01
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	8	57%	-0.03	3	-0.06	7	71%	-0.02
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	9	35%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.3	32.5	15.4	22.9	1.8	34.3	135.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +43.8%

GSW -10.3%

UTA +7.2%

UTA +4.1%

UTA +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	UTA	NBA	GSW	UTA	NBA
this game	14.5	14.3	15.6	103.0	112.0	102.3
season	14.7	16.1		100.7	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.1		101.9	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.8	15.0	15.2	13.0	14.5
UTA	15.2	10.8	18.3	14.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Murphy	15	14	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-4	-1	14.1	14.5	-0.40	14.6	14.3	0.28
Danny Fortson	58	59	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-8	7	15.3	13.3	2.00	14.4	14.3	0.10
Erick Dampier	21	20	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	-3	-3	13.7	14.7	-0.96	14.9	14.2	0.71
Antawn Jamison	82	83	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.28	3	-12	15	14.5	14.1	0.44	14.9	11.6	3.23
Gilbert Arenas	50	51	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.11	-5	-4	-1	15.4	13.5	1.86	13.7	15.0	-1.31
Larry Hughes	57	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.30	1	-10	11	12.7	16.8	-4.07	13.9	14.9	-1.01
Bob Sura	55	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-4	-1	12.9	16.4	-3.55	14.9	13.7	1.13
Chris Mills	30	29	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.09	-8	-1	-7	13.8	14.8	-0.96	13.8	14.5	-0.76
Adonal Foyle	64	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-4	-1	15.5	12.7	2.82	14.6	13.9	0.73
Jason Richardson	68	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	5	-19	15.4	12.5	2.85	13.8	15.4	-1.58

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	63	64	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	-2	13	14.8	13.5	1.38	15.7	12.3	3.38
John Stockton	70	69	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.19	9	0	9	13.7	15.7	-2.00	15.3	12.5	2.78
Andrei Kirilenko	44	46	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.02	16	-7	23	12.2	16.0	-3.71	13.9	14.9	-1.03
Karl Malone	82	81	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.19	5	4	1	14.4	14.2	0.20	14.9	12.7	2.14
Scott Padgett	39	39	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.19	5	4	1	14.3	14.4	-0.08	12.8	15.6	-2.79
Donyell Marshall	79	76	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.27	2	7	-5	14.2	15.0	-0.85	14.7	13.6	1.17
Greg Ostertag	25	26	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	5	-1	15.4	14.0	1.43	13.2	14.9	-1.67
Rusty LaRue	30	31	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	9	-9	15.7	13.7	2.00	12.5	15.3	-2.78
DeShawn Stevenson	9	8	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	10	-11	8.0	15.0	-6.96	13.7	14.5	-0.78
Jarron Collins	40	41	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.14	-5	14	-19	16.2	13.1	3.16	15.6	13.7	1.93
John Starks	19	19	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	10	-11	15.7	14.0	1.74	11.9	15.1	-3.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.73,0.79,0.91,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 92, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.86,0.8,0.72,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	94.1%
NYK 92, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1	93.8%
SEA 101, NJN 110	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.65,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.85,0.73,0.67,0.56,0.66,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.73,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,1,1,1	93.5%