NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	92		Excitement	5.9 [636]		MVP	Zaza Pachulia (ATL): +17.2%
Atlanta Hawks	102		Comeback	1.7 [757]		LVP	Channing Frye (NYK): -21.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	13	65%	0.16	3	-0.10	5	40%	-0.03
Quentin Richardson	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	12	58%	0.08	1	-0.03	9	78%	0.01
David Lee	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Steve Francis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	6	64%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.04	0.01	0.05	8	75%	0.07	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Renaldo Balkman	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	9	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	8	25%	-0.10	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Channing Frye	-0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.19	-0.05	-0.02	11	18%	-0.13	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.06	0.01	11	71%	0.19	1	-0.02	9	67%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.00	-0.02	24	57%	0.19	2	-0.08	5	60%	-0.01
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	8	67%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	9	48%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	60%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	55%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Freije	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Bozeman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	0.01	-0.01	7	39%	0.00	5	-0.12	4	25%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	36.6	1.6	32.2	14.6	24.4	2.7	40.4	152.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +28.7%

NYK -2.4%

ATL +5.7%

ATL +9.9%

ATL +8.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	14.3	16.2	15.4	96.8	108.5	104.5
season	15.7	16.1		103.7	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.4		106.1	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.1	14.1	14.0	13.4	14.3
ATL	19.9	13.0	16.7	16.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mardy Collins	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-10	10	5.0	14.4	-9.41	8.0	16.3	-8.26
Channing Frye	36	36	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.15	5	-15	20	16.9	12.7	4.19	17.4	15.4	2.07
Renaldo Balkman	8	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-10	10	13.0	14.4	-1.44	18.6	15.9	2.68
Kelvin Cato	4	5	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.03	-1	-9	8	15.2	14.3	0.98	17.0	16.1	0.88
Malik Rose	3	3	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-9	8	23.7	14.0	9.66	16.3	16.2	0.17
Stephon Marbury	78	78	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.24	4	-14	18	14.0	15.6	-1.55	15.5	19.6	-4.16
Steve Francis	62	59	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-8	6	15.1	12.8	2.29	17.5	14.0	3.46
David Lee	40	38	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.12	-14	4	-18	12.6	15.5	-2.92	15.7	16.5	-0.86
Quentin Richardson	65	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.18	-6	-4	-2	14.5	13.9	0.56	15.3	18.1	-2.79
Eddy Curry	78	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-5	0	14.6	13.1	1.53	16.2	15.9	0.35
Jamal Crawford	55	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	1	-12	13.0	16.1	-3.08	15.7	16.9	-1.17
Nate Robinson	45	45	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.07	-19	9	-28	13.7	14.9	-1.15	16.5	15.9	0.65

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	67	68	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.13	14	-4	18	15.2	18.5	-3.24	15.4	11.5	3.91
Josh Childress	73	73	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.15	13	-3	16	16.2	16.1	0.10	13.5	17.1	-3.67
Speedy Claxton	48	51	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.13	11	-1	12	15.0	17.3	-2.31	15.4	13.1	2.24
Josh Smith	57	60	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.16	4	6	-2	15.7	16.9	-1.28	14.4	14.1	0.32
Lorenzen Wright	33	32	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.01	8	2	6	15.4	16.6	-1.20	13.2	14.9	-1.75
Shelden Williams	47	48	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.13	1	9	-8	17.3	15.1	2.17	16.1	12.4	3.70
Zaza Pachulia	56	57	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.21	-2	12	-14	16.6	15.5	1.17	14.9	13.5	1.36
Matt Freije	19	18	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	8	-6	16.5	16.1	0.45	12.9	14.6	-1.76
Tyronn Lue	49	48	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.12	-2	12	-14	17.2	15.0	2.16	12.8	15.9	-3.04
Cedric Bozeman	20	19	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	9	-8	18.3	15.6	2.71	11.8	14.9	-3.16
Solomon Jones	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	8.0	16.3	-8.26	5.0	14.4	-9.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.86,0.8,0.72,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 103, UTA 112	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.73,0.79,0.91,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1	94.1%
HOU 102, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,1	94.1%
NYK 91, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.83,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.9,0.86,0.95,0.99,1,1	94.0%