NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	102		Excitement	6.3 [560]		MVP	Troy Murphy (IND): +14.8%
Indiana Pacers	107		Comeback	1.9 [540]		LVP	Rafer Alston (HOU): -15.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	12	61%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Brent Barry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	6	57%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Von Wafer	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	15	45%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	16	58%	0.08	4	-0.08	11	64%	-0.03
Aaron Brooks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.02	7	41%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Shane Battier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.03	6	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Yao Ming	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	7	44%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Rafer Alston	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.16	-0.07	-0.06	0.02	15	53%	0.02	6	-0.17	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.06	-0.01	10	64%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.00	5	75%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Granger	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.06	-0.02	19	50%	0.14	2	-0.04	12	100%	0.07
Jeff Foster	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	6	67%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Travis Diener	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.03	0.05	12	55%	0.07	1	-0.03	14	93%	0.03
Maceo Baston	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	13	36%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	13	41%	-0.03	3	-0.05	6	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	28.4	15.3	29.9	0.8	39.1	139.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +23.1%

IND +8.2%

HOU -7.9%

IND +22.4%

IND +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	IND	NBA	HOU	IND	NBA
this game	14.7	13.4	15.5	98.1	105.9	106.4
season	16.3	14.1		105.9	106.5
opponent	15.3	15.2		107.7	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.4	16.7	12.9	13.9	14.7
IND	13.4	12.1	12.9	15.6	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yao Ming	38	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-4	3	14.4	14.8	-0.37	12.8	13.8	-0.97
Rafer Alston	81	79	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.33	9	-14	23	13.4	18.9	-5.47	13.6	12.8	0.78
Von Wafer	75	73	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.35	5	-10	15	13.6	17.5	-3.92	13.1	14.2	-1.04
Luis Scola	80	79	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.39	6	-11	17	14.4	15.4	-0.94	14.3	10.4	3.86
Charles Hayes	23	23	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	2	-9	18.3	13.6	4.74	15.3	12.9	2.49
Shane Battier	87	83	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.35	-1	-4	3	14.4	16.1	-1.75	13.5	13.2	0.32
Brent Barry	45	43	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	4	-13	14.9	14.4	0.49	13.5	13.4	0.11
Carl Landry	47	48	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.10	-11	6	-17	16.6	13.0	3.62	12.3	14.5	-2.16
Aaron Brooks	44	40	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.03	-16	11	-27	15.6	14.0	1.58	12.6	14.0	-1.37

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. Ford	67	71	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	-7	19	13.7	13.0	0.69	15.0	13.9	1.14
Danny Granger	79	83	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.30	6	-1	7	13.6	12.9	0.66	14.6	15.0	-0.37
Troy Murphy	66	67	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.20	6	-1	7	14.3	11.8	2.44	16.3	11.6	4.66
Jarrett Jack	72	73	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	-1	7	13.0	14.6	-1.58	14.5	15.0	-0.45
Jeff Foster	64	64	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.34	-3	8	-11	14.1	12.3	1.78	15.4	13.4	1.96
Maceo Baston	13	12	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.01	6	-1	7	11.8	13.7	-1.90	18.2	14.2	4.07
Mike Dunleavy	61	65	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.40	-10	15	-25	14.1	12.4	1.66	12.6	18.0	-5.35
Marquis Daniels	28	30	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	4	-3	12.6	13.8	-1.18	13.5	15.1	-1.67
Stephen Graham	11	11	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	3	-1	9.5	13.9	-4.46	14.9	14.6	0.29
Rasho Nesterovic	35	35	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	6	-7	13.1	13.6	-0.52	13.5	15.3	-1.80
Travis Diener	9	9	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	5	-5	10.0	13.8	-3.76	13.9	14.7	-0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 84, PHI 100	0.5,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.85,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.7%
SAS 94, DET 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.87,0.88,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1	94.3%
NYK 92, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.86,0.8,0.72,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	94.1%