NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	101		Excitement	5.7 [652]		MVP	Robert Pack (NJN): +17.1%
New Jersey Nets	110		Comeback	1.6 [785]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -12.4%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Detlef Schrempf	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.04	0.01	14	86%	0.26	4	-0.09	7	100%	0.04
Larry Stewart	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	9	58%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	3	67%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Ehlo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	14	46%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	5	17%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Shawn Kemp	-0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.01	0.02	17	46%	-0.06	3	-0.06	7	71%	-0.01
Gary Payton	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.03	20	39%	-0.07	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.05

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.11	-0.05	15	63%	0.26	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	-0.01	7	100%	0.16	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.04	0.06	-0.04	21	47%	0.08	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.05
Adrian Caldwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ed O'Bannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	14	65%	0.11	5	-0.10	3	67%	0.01
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	10	50%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	0.03	12	64%	0.06	5	-0.14	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.0	24.2	15.6	27.4	2.5	28.2	123.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +54.5%

NJN +4.8%

NJN +8.8%

SEA -19.9%

NJN +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	NJN	NBA	SEA	NJN	NBA
this game	14.2	14.8	15.6	102.0	110.0	104.4
season	14.9	15.4		108.9	101.7
opponent	14.9	16.2		106.6	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.3	15.3	12.4	14.7	14.2
NJN	14.0	12.3	17.1	16.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hersey Hawkins	70	72	0.12	-0.61	0.73	-0.12	8	-17	25	14.2	14.1	0.03	15.2	13.6	1.58
Jim McIlvaine	33	31	0.03	-0.52	0.55	-0.06	3	-12	15	14.5	14.0	0.48	14.3	15.0	-0.71
Detlef Schrempf	78	79	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.14	5	-14	19	14.3	13.7	0.57	15.4	12.4	3.04
David Wingate	2	2	-0.00	-0.49	0.49	-0.06	2	-11	13	13.0	14.2	-1.19	22.0	14.6	7.37
Larry Stewart	14	14	-0.10	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-6	3	16.7	13.7	2.97	13.7	15.0	-1.24
Sam Perkins	63	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	-2	-5	13.5	15.3	-1.84	14.8	14.8	0.01
Gary Payton	92	93	-0.38	-0.11	-0.28	-0.15	-8	-1	-7	14.3	12.7	1.56	14.5	18.0	-3.46
Shawn Kemp	80	83	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.18	-13	4	-17	13.8	15.5	-1.62	14.8	14.8	-0.05
Craig Ehlo	28	28	-0.57	0.08	-0.65	-0.13	-15	6	-21	13.7	14.3	-0.62	13.6	15.2	-1.58
Eric Snow	35	33	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.15	-17	8	-25	14.6	13.9	0.68	14.4	15.0	-0.53

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Caldwell	32	32	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.08	24	-15	39	13.7	15.3	-1.65	15.5	13.5	1.98
Kendall Gill	80	80	0.53	-0.04	0.57	0.30	8	1	7	14.7	15.0	-0.34	14.6	12.1	2.54
Robert Pack	83	82	0.42	0.07	0.35	0.19	8	1	7	14.9	14.2	0.73	14.2	13.9	0.27
Kerry Kittles	85	84	0.31	0.18	0.13	0.31	0	9	-9	14.7	15.0	-0.26	14.2	14.0	0.19
Jayson Williams	84	81	0.30	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	5	-1	15.1	13.0	2.12	13.6	16.6	-2.99
Khalid Reeves	32	32	0.25	0.24	0.01	-0.04	10	-1	11	14.6	14.9	-0.32	14.0	14.3	-0.28
Shawn Bradley	54	56	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	11	-13	14.4	15.2	-0.77	14.4	13.8	0.57
Ed O'Bannon	20	19	-0.04	0.53	-0.57	-0.07	1	8	-7	15.0	14.7	0.34	12.1	14.6	-2.54
Tony Massenburg	30	29	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.14	-8	17	-25	15.7	14.4	1.27	13.7	14.3	-0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.65,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.85,0.73,0.67,0.56,0.66,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.73,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 90, TOR 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%
ATL 120, PHX 129	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1	93.5%
GSW 103, UTA 112	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.73,0.79,0.91,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.5%