NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	120		Excitement	5.8 [664]		MVP	Kyle Korver (ATL): +21.0%
Phoenix Suns	129		Comeback	1.9 [969]		LVP	Mike Muscala (ATL): -6.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.21	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.16	0.06	0.00	10	90%	0.23	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	7	68%	0.15	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.11	-0.00	0.02	21	64%	0.14	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02
Elton Brand	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.03	6	72%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Shelvin Mack	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	11	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	62%	0.04	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Dennis Schroder	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.07	18	51%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Mike Muscala	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.26	0.02	0.07	14	87%	0.25	2	-0.04	10	100%	0.03
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.04	-0.03	8	81%	0.23	4	-0.06	10	90%	0.03
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.10	-0.02	14	64%	0.21	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	6	58%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	13	56%	0.08	2	-0.04	8	62%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.03	7	64%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
PJ Tucker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Archie Goodwin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.0	28.0	16.8	27.2	2.5	35.2	134.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +26.2%

PHX +14.1%

PHX +7.0%

ATL -1.4%

PHX +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHX	NBA	ATL	PHX	NBA
this game	14.0	14.4	15.1	117.6	127.7	105.2
season	14.8	14.7		103.8	107.7
opponent	14.9	15.3		105.0	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.6	14.7	14.2	13.1	14.0
PHX	14.1	12.4	14.0	17.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	78	77	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.39	16	-25	41	13.3	16.2	-2.88	15.4	11.2	4.15
Dennis Schroder	5	3	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-5	1	18.4	13.7	4.67	11.0	14.5	-3.52
Elton Brand	61	62	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-11	13	14.4	13.3	1.08	15.1	13.3	1.76
Jeff Teague	65	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-4	-1	13.3	15.1	-1.72	15.3	12.8	2.55
DeMarre Carroll	79	80	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-7	5	13.9	14.2	-0.33	14.3	14.7	-0.32
Shelvin Mack	38	38	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-1	-7	15.1	13.3	1.74	12.9	15.3	-2.40
Mike Muscala	44	42	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	3	-15	14.1	13.8	0.31	13.1	15.3	-2.18
Mike Scott	84	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	1	-11	13.8	14.6	-0.79	14.6	13.7	0.91
Louis Williams	56	55	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.08	-22	13	-35	14.2	13.7	0.52	13.2	15.8	-2.59

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	67	68	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.07	16	-7	23	13.3	16.5	-3.19	14.4	13.1	1.31
PJ Tucker	71	71	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.19	10	-1	11	15.4	12.2	3.20	13.6	14.7	-1.03
Ish Smith	53	56	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-3	15	13.3	15.7	-2.38	15.2	12.4	2.86
Marcus Morris	56	56	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.31	0	9	-9	14.5	14.3	0.15	14.8	12.9	1.91
Shavlik Randolph	23	23	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.00	10	-1	11	12.8	14.9	-2.11	14.4	13.8	0.56
Gerald Green	67	68	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	6	-3	14.2	14.9	-0.70	13.1	15.7	-2.62
Leandro Barbosa	25	25	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.14	1	8	-7	16.0	13.9	2.11	13.8	14.0	-0.21
Goran Dragic	73	72	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.20	-4	13	-17	14.8	13.4	1.37	13.1	16.0	-2.89
Channing Frye	43	44	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	8	-7	14.6	14.3	0.37	13.8	14.1	-0.21
Archie Goodwin	3	3	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.01	2	7	-5	10.7	14.5	-3.86	9.3	14.1	-4.77
Miles Plumlee	24	24	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.07	-6	15	-21	16.5	13.8	2.68	14.2	13.9	0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 103, OKC 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
CLE 95, WAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.7%
CHI 90, MIL 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.83,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.89,0.81,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,1	93.7%