NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	92		Excitement	7.5 [333]		MVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): +15.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	88		Comeback	5.6 [279]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -31.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vlade Divac	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.15,0.15	0.02	0.14	0.00	10	50%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.07	-0.00	10	55%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.03	0.03	-0.06	-0.00	16	58%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Chris Webber	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.09,-0.07,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03	-0.08	0.05	0.01	23	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Scot Pollard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	6	58%	0.04	4	-0.20	7	71%	0.03
Bobby Jackson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	10	33%	-0.06	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.08	-0.01	11	42%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	4	60%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.01	13	67%	0.09	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Raja Bell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	11	56%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	36%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.18,-0.09,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.10	-0.21	0.00	31	47%	-0.05	5	-0.27	6	83%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.0	25.7	19.7	24.7	2.7	42.2	140.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +2.0%

SAC +21.0%

SAC +18.3%

SAC +3.6%

SAC +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHI	NBA	SAC	PHI	NBA
this game	14.3	16.2	15.6	96.8	93.6	102.3
season	14.2	15.9		106.6	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.5		98.2	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.5	14.5	13.7	13.5	14.3
PHI	13.9	15.5	16.9	18.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	75	76	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.41	6	-2	8	14.7	12.7	2.03	16.2	16.1	0.09
Chris Webber	76	77	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.36	7	-3	10	14.4	13.9	0.51	15.8	17.9	-2.15
Peja Stojakovic	74	73	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.31	5	-1	6	13.9	15.7	-1.75	15.0	20.2	-5.16
Mike Bibby	78	76	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.26	4	0	4	13.8	16.6	-2.85	15.4	19.6	-4.17
Vlade Divac	63	63	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.27	2	2	0	15.0	12.9	2.16	15.5	17.5	-2.04
Scot Pollard	39	37	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	2	0	13.6	14.8	-1.21	18.4	14.8	3.58
Bobby Jackson	39	38	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	4	-4	13.8	14.6	-0.82	17.1	15.5	1.60
Hedo Turkoglu	21	21	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	5	-6	15.7	13.9	1.75	20.2	15.0	5.16
Lawrence Funderburke	10	9	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	9	-14	14.4	14.3	0.11	17.9	16.0	1.89

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick McKey	29	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-3	2	19.5	14.7	4.78	13.8	14.5	-0.79
Raja Bell	0	2	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	0	-4	0.0	16.2	-16.18	2.5	14.6	-12.06
Speedy Claxton	29	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-1	-2	16.5	16.0	0.49	11.4	15.7	-4.29
Dikembe Mutombo	82	83	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.40	5	-9	14	16.0	17.6	-1.61	15.0	9.4	5.60
Corie Blount	47	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	7	-18	16.4	16.0	0.40	13.3	15.4	-2.11
Derrick Coleman	59	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.45	2	-6	8	16.3	16.0	0.33	14.6	13.9	0.65
Matt Harpring	62	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.33	-3	-1	-2	15.1	18.2	-3.09	15.2	12.6	2.53
Eric Snow	74	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.35	-4	0	-4	15.8	17.6	-1.80	14.9	12.3	2.59
Allen Iverson	88	90	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	-3	2	16.0	18.2	-2.12	14.4	13.0	1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.54,0.45,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 102, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.25,0.02,0	92.5%
OKC 111, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.31,0.46,0.32,0.04,0	92.4%
CHI 99, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.22,0.15,0	91.9%