NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	99		Excitement	8.8 [153]		MVP	Trenton Hassell (CHI): +50.7%
Boston Celtics	96		Comeback	6.3 [43]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -47.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trenton Hassell	0.51	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.24,0.51,0.51	0.08	0.43	-0.00	10	70%	0.52	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	14	57%	0.15	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Marcus Fizer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	62%	0.01	4	-0.09	7	43%	-0.04
Jamal Crawford	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jay Williams	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.21,-0.26	-0.02	-0.23	0.00	9	57%	-0.21	2	-0.05	5	0%	-0.27
Jalen Rose	-0.29	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.02,-0.03,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.27,-0.29	-0.03	-0.25	0.01	18	51%	-0.13	3	-0.16	5	80%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.45,0.45	0.45	0.22	0.23	0.01	9	105%	0.45	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.02	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	2	83%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bruno Sundov	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	5	67%	0.04	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.13,-0.29,-0.38	-0.38	-0.06	-0.31	0.01	22	55%	0.00	6	-0.38	7	57%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.34,-0.34,-0.47	-0.47	-0.20	-0.29	-0.02	23	28%	-0.34	2	-0.14	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.7	26.2	15.7	27.2	2.4	30.4	131.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +33.0%

BOS -18.7%

CHI +12.1%

CHI +19.3%

CHI +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BOS	NBA	CHI	BOS	NBA
this game	15.7	14.6	15.5	103.1	102.1	101.6
season	15.0	15.6		98.3	99.3
opponent	15.5	15.1		99.9	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.9	15.3	16.0	15.7	15.7
BOS	13.4	13.5	15.3	16.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corie Blount	32	31	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.39	12	-9	21	16.2	15.5	0.75	15.7	14.0	1.73
Donyell Marshall	67	65	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.35	12	-9	21	15.5	16.3	-0.85	14.4	15.0	-0.60
Jalen Rose	70	70	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.32	12	-9	21	15.8	15.6	0.19	15.1	13.1	2.02
Trenton Hassell	59	58	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.43	5	-2	7	16.2	15.0	1.17	15.1	13.7	1.35
Jay Williams	67	65	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.37	1	2	-1	15.6	15.9	-0.30	14.8	14.0	0.80
Jamal Crawford	29	29	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	1	1	15.9	15.6	0.30	14.0	14.8	-0.80
Eddie Robinson	37	36	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	5	-7	15.0	16.2	-1.17	13.7	15.1	-1.35
Fred Hoiberg	27	24	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.16	-9	12	-21	15.0	16.0	-1.00	13.1	15.1	-2.02
Marcus Fizer	21	21	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.02	-4	7	-11	16.5	15.5	1.03	11.6	15.4	-3.82
Tyson Chandler	35	35	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.03	-7	10	-17	15.4	15.9	-0.46	15.0	14.3	0.71
Eddy Curry	36	36	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.01	-7	10	-17	16.0	15.5	0.45	15.2	14.2	1.03

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vin Baker	38	39	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-5	7	12.8	15.8	-2.93	15.2	16.1	-0.95
Bruno Sundov	10	12	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.06	0	-3	3	12.6	14.8	-2.22	16.0	15.7	0.32
Walter McCarty	20	23	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	0	-3	14.2	14.7	-0.49	14.3	16.2	-1.92
Shammond Williams	43	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	2	-7	14.0	15.1	-1.08	14.7	16.7	-2.08
Eric Williams	74	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-3	3	14.7	14.2	0.49	16.2	14.3	1.92
Paul Pierce	79	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.47	2	-5	7	14.6	14.7	-0.18	16.1	13.9	2.21
Tony Delk	66	66	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	15.0	13.6	1.39	15.8	15.6	0.22
Tony Battie	56	56	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.37	-5	2	-7	15.8	12.8	2.93	16.4	14.8	1.62
Antoine Walker	84	84	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.47	-3	0	-3	14.8	12.6	2.22	15.7	16.0	-0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.22,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 92, PHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.54,0.45,0.09,0	91.9%
ATL 102, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.25,0.02,0	91.9%
SEA 102, MEM 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.53,0.73,0.87,0.76,0.86,0.69,0.63,0.23,0.15,0	91.4%