NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	107		Excitement	9.6 [69]		MVP	Eddy Curry (CHI): +8.8%
Chicago Bulls	103		Comeback	2.9 [814]		LVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): -33.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scot Pollard	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	4	78%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.09,-0.04	0.12	-0.14	0.01	18	66%	0.12	1	-0.15	8	100%	0.06
Doug Christie	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	7	59%	0.01	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.02
Bobby Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.07	-0.00	7	56%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Chris Webber	-0.12	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.17,-0.21,-0.29,-0.28,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.12,-0.12	-0.18	0.03	-0.03	28	42%	0.04	6	-0.16	6	100%	0.03
Vlade Divac	-0.34	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.25,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.34	-0.15	-0.20	-0.01	11	41%	-0.27	3	-0.06	12	67%	-0.04

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	13	63%	0.13	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalibor Bagaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	6	71%	0.02	3	-0.08	5	40%	-0.10
A.J. Guyton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.28,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.16,-0.12	-0.12	0.11	-0.22	0.01	22	69%	0.14	4	-0.26	7	100%	0.07
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	12	33%	-0.14	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.23	-0.23	-0.01	-0.21	0.00	4	80%	0.01	3	-0.24	2	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.6	27.3	16.3	24.5	1.7	40.1	136.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI -29.0%

SAC +11.8%

SAC +48.0%

SAC +21.8%

CHI -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CHI	NBA	SAC	CHI	NBA
this game	14.5	16.7	15.6	115.1	112.0	102.3
season	14.2	15.6		106.6	96.3
opponent	15.6	15.5		105.5	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.9	14.1	14.8	15.3	14.5
CHI	15.5	17.2	17.2	16.8	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	43	42	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.29	15	-11	26	14.6	14.4	0.12	17.7	15.8	1.87
Doug Christie	64	63	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.55	-1	5	-6	14.4	14.8	-0.43	15.8	18.5	-2.67
Vlade Divac	71	69	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.40	0	4	-4	15.3	11.8	3.51	16.7	16.5	0.17
Peja Stojakovic	86	85	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.41	-3	7	-10	14.3	16.4	-2.09	16.1	23.0	-6.87
Scot Pollard	29	30	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.15	16	-12	28	13.7	14.9	-1.17	19.2	15.4	3.73
Chris Webber	84	83	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.45	-6	10	-16	14.4	15.3	-0.93	16.0	22.6	-6.54
Hedo Turkoglu	36	36	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.20	12	-8	20	15.1	14.1	1.01	19.4	14.9	4.45
Mike Bibby	52	52	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.15	-13	17	-30	13.9	15.2	-1.34	15.3	18.3	-3.00

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddy Curry	44	44	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.30	14	-18	32	16.0	17.3	-1.34	16.7	12.5	4.19
A.J. Guyton	12	12	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-7	10	21.3	15.9	5.38	17.2	14.1	3.16
Fred Hoiberg	11	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.11	2	-6	8	17.7	16.5	1.22	15.2	14.4	0.79
Charles Oakley	36	38	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.11	1	-5	6	15.4	17.5	-2.12	13.1	15.5	-2.39
Trenton Hassell	54	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.51	10	-14	24	14.8	19.3	-4.58	14.1	15.0	-0.88
Jamal Crawford	33	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	8	-20	17.6	16.1	1.49	13.2	15.2	-1.94
Dalibor Bagaric	33	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.00	-9	5	-14	18.6	15.6	3.00	13.7	14.9	-1.28
Eddie Robinson	38	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.13	-14	10	-24	19.3	14.8	4.58	15.0	14.1	0.88
Travis Best	47	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.49	5	-9	14	14.8	18.6	-3.81	14.7	14.3	0.36
Jalen Rose	83	84	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.34	-5	1	-6	16.2	20.8	-4.57	14.2	16.9	-2.65
Tyson Chandler	69	70	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.27	-15	11	-26	17.2	15.0	2.26	14.5	14.6	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.27,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.59,0.54,0.47,0.28,0.32,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 94, DET 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.25,0.3,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.28,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.47,0.36,0.23,0.11,0	92.1%
ORL 103, WAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.31,0.23,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.45,0.58,0	90.8%
DAL 93, CHA 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.26,0.27,0.36,0.49,0.32,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.53,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.01,0	90.1%