NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	94		Excitement	7.9 [266]		MVP	Stephon Marbury (PHX): +15.5%
Detroit Pistons	91		Comeback	1.9 [206]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (DET): -16.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.12,-0.03,0.16,0.16	-0.01	0.17	0.01	19	60%	0.29	5	-0.13	5	100%	0.06
Bo Outlaw	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	12	68%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.1	-0.04	0.12	-0.03	6	33%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dan Langhi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.08	0.00	11	70%	0.14	2	-0.17	5	100%	0.03
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	58%	-0.01	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	58%	0.01	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	8	37%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.01	18	55%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	9	54%	0.01	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.02	6	58%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.23,-0.3,-0.23,-0.13,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	14	57%	0.08	4	-0.17	7	86%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	15	37%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	10	45%	0.01	3	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.9	3.5	29.3	17.8	29.2	3.5	38.5	150.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +49.5%

PHX +19.7%

DET -2.6%

DET -18.8%

PHX +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DET	NBA	PHX	DET	NBA
this game	15.0	17.7	15.5	106.8	103.4	101.6
season	15.0	16.8		101.1	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.9		97.8	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.8	13.9	14.9	15.5	15.0
DET	16.9	19.5	16.4	18.0	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	59	60	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.34	14	-11	25	14.8	15.4	-0.53	17.9	17.2	0.72
Jake Voskuhl	40	40	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.44	9	-6	15	15.6	14.5	1.15	17.2	18.1	-0.97
Stephon Marbury	84	84	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.41	4	-1	5	15.1	14.2	0.81	18.1	9.7	8.33
Shawn Marion	82	81	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	2	-1	15.3	10.7	4.67	17.5	19.6	-2.03
Anfernee Hardaway	39	38	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.46	-5	8	-13	15.8	14.4	1.39	17.6	17.8	-0.27
Joe Johnson	53	54	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.04	7	-4	11	14.4	16.0	-1.58	17.2	18.5	-1.25
Dan Langhi	6	7	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	1	1	10.7	15.3	-4.67	19.6	17.5	2.03
Scott Williams	26	26	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.08	-9	12	-21	15.4	14.9	0.57	17.7	17.7	-0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	51	50	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.03	-8	11	-19	14.5	15.7	-1.17	17.9	17.5	0.36

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Curry	37	39	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.09	11	-14	25	17.5	17.9	-0.42	15.4	14.7	0.65
Corliss Williamson	39	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	6	-15	18.3	17.2	1.04	15.1	15.0	0.10
Jon Barry	35	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	4	-11	18.5	17.2	1.30	14.6	15.3	-0.61
Ben Wallace	75	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.29	-1	-2	1	17.9	16.5	1.46	15.6	11.5	4.18
Mehmet Okur	46	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.18	-6	3	-9	18.5	16.8	1.71	14.9	15.2	-0.32
Chauncey Billups	81	82	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-2	1	17.5	19.6	-2.03	15.3	10.7	4.67
Clifford Robinson	58	59	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.54	0	-3	3	17.1	18.9	-1.81	14.5	16.0	-1.51
Richard Hamilton	69	69	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.53	-2	-1	-1	17.0	20.1	-3.06	14.4	17.1	-2.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.25,0.3,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.28,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.47,0.36,0.23,0.11,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 96, SEA 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.56,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.14,0.09,0	92.8%
POR 107, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.1,0.02,0	92.6%
HOU 111, SEA 104	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.73,0.53,0.29,0.03,0.04,0	92.5%