NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	107		Excitement	7.4 [360]		MVP	Nicolas Batum (POR): +34.4%
Sacramento Kings	102		Comeback	1.6 [741]		LVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): -21.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0.34	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.14	0.20	-0.01	7	94%	0.38	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.05
Wesley Matthews	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.09	0.19	0.03	12	75%	0.34	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.00
Patty Mills	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.08	0.00	8	78%	0.19	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Wallace	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	11	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Jarron Collins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.05	0.01	12	54%	0.02	2	-0.07	11	82%	0.02
Marcus Camby	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	7	29%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.22	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.22	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	27	36%	-0.15	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.15	0.09	-0.02	17	64%	0.29	1	-0.04	10	80%	0.01
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.15	0.01	0.04	18	72%	0.17	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	6	71%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.08
Darnell Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Jeter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine Taylor	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	0.04	10	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	5	80%	0.13	4	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.09	-0.02	13	45%	-0.00	3	-0.13	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	0.8	28.4	16.4	25.4	2.3	35.6	137.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +15.1%

SAC -1.1%

POR +2.2%

POR +29.5%

POR +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAC	NBA	POR	SAC	NBA
this game	15.8	15.3	15.5	115.1	110.9	105.7
season	16.5	14.9		106.7	102.1
opponent	14.9	15.7		107.7	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.4	12.7	17.1	15.6	15.8
SAC	14.4	17.3	15.6	13.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	86	85	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.38	11	-6	17	15.8	17.0	-1.24	15.1	17.3	-2.17
LaMarcus Aldridge	83	82	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	-2	9	15.9	15.3	0.62	15.5	13.9	1.55
Andre Miller	65	64	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.44	3	2	1	16.9	13.4	3.46	14.6	16.9	-2.31
Gerald Wallace	64	64	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.28	8	-3	11	14.6	18.6	-3.93	15.3	15.3	-0.06
Wesley Matthews	87	85	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	0	5	16.2	11.2	5.01	15.0	19.0	-4.02
Patty Mills	28	28	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.09	2	3	-1	13.4	16.9	-3.46	16.9	14.6	2.31
Marcus Camby	40	39	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	10	-15	17.1	14.9	2.28	16.2	14.6	1.51
Jarron Collins	12	13	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.02	-6	11	-17	15.9	15.8	0.08	14.8	15.4	-0.60

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine Taylor	29	31	0.22	-0.72	0.93	0.01	7	-12	19	13.9	15.9	-2.07	17.4	15.1	2.31
Pooh Jeter	15	16	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.04	3	-8	11	15.3	15.3	0.06	15.4	15.9	-0.57
DeMarcus Cousins	67	68	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.12	8	-13	21	15.3	15.3	0.00	16.1	15.3	0.78
Darnell Jackson	1	2	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-7	9	4.0	15.4	-11.41	10.5	16.0	-5.47
Donte Greene	35	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	0	-5	15.4	15.2	0.24	14.5	16.6	-2.08
Omri Casspi	58	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-1	-3	15.1	15.6	-0.58	16.6	14.5	2.02
Jason Thompson	63	61	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	6	-17	15.8	14.2	1.62	15.2	17.0	-1.75
Beno Udrih	76	77	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.43	-6	1	-7	15.4	14.9	0.49	15.9	15.4	0.57
Samuel Dalembert	50	51	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.40	-9	4	-13	15.4	15.1	0.34	17.2	14.2	3.07
Marcus Thornton	66	65	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.42	-10	5	-15	15.5	14.8	0.66	14.6	18.8	-4.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.1,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 94, DET 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.25,0.3,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.28,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.47,0.36,0.23,0.11,0	92.6%
WAS 96, SEA 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.56,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.14,0.09,0	92.5%
SAS 101, MIA 94	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.71,0.61,0.55,0.28,0.23,0.05,0	92.4%