NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	111		Excitement	7.9 [220]		MVP	Steve Francis (HOU): +15.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	104		Comeback	2.7 [242]		LVP	Patrick Ewing (SEA): -17.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Francis	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.09,0.16,0.15,0.15	-0.00	0.15	-0.01	15	55%	0.25	2	-0.10	8	87%	0.01
Matt Bullard	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.02	0.00	8	87%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.02	0.02	9	77%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Kenny Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.05	-0.00	7	79%	0.08	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	13	57%	0.03	2	-0.05	9	67%	-0.05
Cuttino Mobley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.09	0.00	15	52%	-0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Moochie Norris	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	5	43%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.06
Walt Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	-0.01	9	16%	-0.09	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	25	60%	0.17	3	-0.10	8	62%	-0.07
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.03	-0.01	11	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	75%	0.13	3	-0.12	6	83%	0.03
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.09	-0.00	16	52%	-0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	0.00	8	28%	-0.10	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.13	-0.00	5	50%	-0.02	2	-0.15	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	43.9	1.6	29.2	15.6	25.0	1.8	40.2	157.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +14.7%

SEA -4.0%

SEA -6.3%

HOU +27.0%

HOU +18.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SEA	NBA	HOU	SEA	NBA
this game	17.5	13.6	15.5	119.4	113.0	100.9
season	16.3	15.2		104.6	103.8
opponent	15.7	14.9		103.5	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	18.6	16.7	18.4	16.3	17.5
SEA	11.9	14.0	13.5	15.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	61	63	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.18	19	-12	31	16.9	18.6	-1.63	13.4	14.0	-0.61
Moochie Norris	46	47	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.24	15	-8	23	16.5	18.5	-2.05	14.5	12.7	1.87
Maurice Taylor	67	65	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	6	-5	16.8	19.4	-2.62	12.7	15.9	-3.26
Hakeem Olajuwon	54	50	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.37	0	7	-7	17.0	18.2	-1.14	14.1	13.0	1.14
Steve Francis	84	82	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.32	1	6	-5	17.5	17.3	0.18	13.1	18.2	-5.14
Matt Bullard	35	38	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.13	11	-4	15	17.9	17.2	0.72	13.4	13.7	-0.29
Kenny Thomas	34	36	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.09	5	2	3	19.3	16.5	2.79	14.2	13.2	0.99
Shandon Anderson	41	39	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	13	-19	18.3	16.9	1.43	15.1	12.5	2.57
Walt Williams	43	40	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.11	-11	18	-29	18.6	16.6	2.02	13.1	14.0	-0.96

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	72	72	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.02	3	-10	13	13.6	13.8	-0.29	17.5	17.3	0.21
Jelani McCoy	43	45	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.09	6	-13	19	12.7	14.5	-1.82	17.4	17.6	-0.14
Brent Barry	29	28	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.19	-6	-1	-5	13.1	13.8	-0.70	18.4	17.1	1.23
Shammond Williams	10	10	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.05	-9	2	-11	13.7	13.6	0.09	17.4	17.5	-0.11
Gary Payton	82	83	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-9	11	13.6	13.7	-0.09	17.5	17.4	0.11
Patrick Ewing	49	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-7	7	14.4	12.7	1.69	17.1	18.0	-0.82
Vin Baker	40	39	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.28	-11	4	-15	13.5	13.7	-0.17	18.7	16.6	2.02
Desmond Mason	57	56	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.21	-14	7	-21	13.8	13.3	0.49	17.3	17.8	-0.44
Rashard Lewis	78	80	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.46	-6	-1	-5	13.8	12.6	1.24	17.0	20.7	-3.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.73,0.53,0.29,0.03,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 94, DET 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.25,0.3,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.28,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.47,0.36,0.23,0.11,0	92.5%
POR 107, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.1,0.02,0	91.8%
UTA 92, DEN 81	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.45,0.37,0.06,0.02,0	91.6%