NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	93		Excitement	7.6 [333]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +24.2%
Charlotte Bobcats	85		Comeback	1.7 [420]		LVP	Adam Morrison (CHA): -25.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.24,0.24	0.05	0.19	-0.00	14	54%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.04	0.19	0.00	4	87%	0.24	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.07	0.00	14	60%	0.19	1	-0.02	12	83%	0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.01	14	47%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Devin Harris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	12	53%	0.18	4	-0.17	8	87%	0.05
DeSagana Diop	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Croshere	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Ager	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22	-0.14	-0.10	-0.02	9	30%	-0.07	3	-0.15	9	22%	-0.07

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.21	0.21	0.05	0.13	-0.03	14	59%	0.27	3	-0.05	9	67%	-0.02
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	3	100%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean May	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	6	67%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	14	66%	0.18	3	-0.13	4	75%	-0.02
Primoz Brezec	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	0.00	3	42%	0.02	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Bernard Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-0.00	16	37%	-0.06	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	14	25%	-0.19	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.5	35.4	15.4	22.8	2.7	32.6	138.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +16.6%

DAL +8.6%

DAL +23.9%

CHA -0.3%

DAL +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CHA	NBA	DAL	CHA	NBA
this game	16.1	15.3	15.4	100.0	94.4	104.5
season	16.3	15.7		108.7	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.2		105.6	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.2	17.4	15.4	14.7	16.1
CHA	14.1	14.5	16.6	16.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	70	67	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.30	17	-9	26	16.2	16.0	0.13	15.6	14.6	0.96
Dirk Nowitzki	78	77	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.30	14	-6	20	16.1	16.5	-0.39	15.7	13.3	2.35
Erick Dampier	67	64	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.32	10	-2	12	16.5	15.1	1.42	15.7	14.5	1.16
Greg Buckner	51	49	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.26	10	-2	12	15.9	16.5	-0.57	15.0	15.8	-0.80
Jason Terry	63	61	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.32	1	7	-6	16.4	15.5	0.90	14.9	16.1	-1.20
Maurice Ager	14	12	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.04	7	1	6	14.9	16.4	-1.51	15.9	15.2	0.69
DeSagana Diop	24	25	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	12	-16	16.1	16.2	-0.08	14.8	15.5	-0.78
Jerry Stackhouse	59	58	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.03	-2	10	-12	16.2	16.1	0.08	15.9	14.2	1.66
Austin Croshere	15	13	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.04	-6	14	-20	16.5	16.1	0.39	13.3	15.7	-2.35
Anthony Johnson	24	24	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.09	-7	15	-22	15.5	16.4	-0.92	14.3	15.7	-1.35

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brevin Knight	40	41	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-9	10	13.8	16.5	-2.65	17.1	15.4	1.67
Primoz Brezec	1	2	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-10	12	8.0	15.4	-7.40	35.0	15.7	19.27
Bernard Robinson	16	18	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	-1	-6	15.6	15.3	0.29	15.1	16.4	-1.34
Jake Voskuhl	20	22	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-3	-2	17.6	14.7	2.93	14.6	16.6	-1.97
Melvin Ely	14	14	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-1	-6	18.5	14.7	3.76	15.1	16.3	-1.17
Sean May	41	41	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.25	0	-8	8	14.1	16.3	-2.20	16.1	16.1	0.01
Alan Anderson	19	20	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	2	-12	17.7	14.7	2.99	13.1	17.0	-3.87
Adam Morrison	80	83	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-5	2	15.2	16.4	-1.21	16.2	15.6	0.60
Emeka Okafor	79	80	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-5	2	15.1	17.2	-2.12	16.0	16.8	-0.73
Gerald Wallace	77	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-4	0	14.8	18.4	-3.58	16.5	14.1	2.43
Raymond Felton	63	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	-4	0	16.1	13.6	2.52	16.3	15.6	0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.26,0.27,0.36,0.49,0.32,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.53,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 98, LAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.15,0	93.9%
ORL 85, ATL 81	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.24,0.05,0	93.1%
PHX 94, DET 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.25,0.3,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.28,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.47,0.36,0.23,0.11,0	92.1%