inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 95 Excitement8.6 [157] MVPMike James (MIA): +20.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers 93 Comeback2.5 [515] LVPAndre Miller (CLE): -27.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike James0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.120.090.006100%0.2100.0000%0.00
Brian Grant0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.13-0.000.13-0.001050%0.151-0.0200%0.00
LaPhonso Ellis0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.080.010.03-0.04658%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Eddie Jones0.060,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.06,0.060.12-0.050.012066%0.112-0.051100%0.00
Kendall Gill-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01333%-0.002-0.0500%0.00
Vladimir Stepania-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.020.00430%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Jim Jackson-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.06-0.10-0.04933%-0.101-0.0200%0.00
Alonzo Mourning-0.130,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.07-0.040.011047%-0.111-0.021258%-0.06
Rod Strickland-0.170,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.07-0.12-0.021246%-0.093-0.08475%-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wesley Person0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.040.021461%0.101-0.023100%0.01
Bimbo Coles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00260%0.031-0.051100%0.01
Ricky Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03-0.030.00-0.020.01863%0.092-0.1230%-0.05
Jumaine Jones0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.060.00958%-0.042-0.04683%0.01
Bryant Stith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.04-0.00744%-0.041-0.044100%0.02
Chris Mihm0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.06-0.070.00933%-0.081-0.0500%0.00
Brian Skinner0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.15-0.03-0.0158%-0.093-0.08250%-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.13-0.09-0.001339%-0.123-0.09771%0.08
Andre Miller0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27-0.27-0.04-0.220.011353%-0.223-0.06683%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.42.728.814.823.32.741.02.413.2155.4
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.01.716.7149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +74.6%
CLE -45.6%
MIA +1.8%
MIA +24.4%
CLE -5.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACLENBAMIACLENBA
this game16.917.315.6102.2100.0102.3
season16.515.896.6102.6
opponent15.515.8106.298.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA14.215.818.717.222.916.9
CLE17.917.719.214.717.517.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brian Grant57570.71-0.210.920.478-61417.216.40.7118.415.52.91
Eddie Jones86850.53-0.030.560.4720217.114.42.6517.614.53.08
Jim Jackson69690.410.090.310.47-24-616.817.2-0.3817.117.9-0.76
Rod Strickland69690.350.150.200.3211017.016.50.5117.018.3-1.32
LaPhonso Ellis50490.240.26-0.020.33-35-816.817.0-0.1815.819.0-3.16
Mike James24240.150.35-0.200.1211016.517.0-0.5118.317.01.32
Alonzo Mourning56580.130.37-0.240.014-2617.016.80.2117.217.5-0.28
Kendall Gill31320.060.44-0.38-0.064-2616.517.0-0.5017.017.5-0.43
Vladimir Stepania2322-0.080.58-0.650.07-57-1216.217.1-0.9418.017.10.90

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas55550.04-0.540.58-0.3714-163015.819.4-3.6117.216.40.78
Bimbo Coles13140.03-0.530.55-0.094-61018.417.11.2517.316.80.48
Jumaine Jones7878-0.21-0.290.08-0.334-61016.421.9-5.4316.618.6-2.05
Wesley Person7879-0.21-0.290.08-0.386-81416.919.6-2.7317.115.91.12
Ricky Davis4646-0.22-0.280.05-0.313-5816.318.3-1.9116.517.3-0.76
Chris Mihm3637-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.12-86-1418.816.42.4817.616.41.18
Bryant Stith2927-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.17-86-1419.416.33.1016.916.9-0.04
Andre Miller8079-0.530.03-0.55-0.35-64-1017.118.4-1.2516.817.3-0.48
Brian Skinner5050-0.630.13-0.77-0.08-1917-3619.514.74.8216.617.2-0.57


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.27,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.18,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 99, PHX 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.2,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.27,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.16,0.0290.4%
CHI 95, DET 920.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.36,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.15,0.27,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.26,090.1%
SEA 122, PHX 1150.5,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.18,0.21,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.26,0.2,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.22,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0.01,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.43,0.18,090.0%