NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	122		Excitement	8.9 [142]		MVP	Rex Chapman (PHX): +28.3%
Phoenix Suns	115		Comeback	2.2 [384]		LVP	Kevin Johnson (PHX): -24.1%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.19	0.06	0.10	-0.03	20	61%	0.28	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Hersey Hawkins	0.15	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15	0.03	0.10	-0.02	15	57%	0.20	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.07	-0.02	11	64%	0.18	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Terry Cummings	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Greg Graham	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.04	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.01	0.07	12	60%	-0.02	2	-0.04	16	81%	-0.10
David Wingate	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	21%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.18,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	17	58%	0.10	4	-0.18	11	82%	0.05

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rex Chapman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.28	0.28	-0.04	0.32	-0.01	22	49%	0.40	4	-0.12	1	0%	-0.03
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	12	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.04	0.00	13	66%	0.08	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Mike Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayman Tisdale	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.08	0.02	17	56%	-0.03	1	-0.04	7	43%	-0.04
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	3	43%	-0.06	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.07,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	19	49%	-0.11	6	-0.13	9	89%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.2	2.6	27.1	16.7	24.2	2.4	44.5	1.5	15.2	159.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +52.2%

SEA +7.8%

SEA +6.1%

PHX -7.4%

PHX -8.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	PHX	NBA	SEA	PHX	NBA
this game	15.0	13.2	15.6	108.0	101.8	104.4
season	14.9	14.6		108.9	106.8
opponent	15.6	16.2		106.5	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SEA	14.1	13.8	17.6	15.6	12.6	15.0
PHX	14.2	13.3	11.2	13.2	14.6	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Cummings	48	47	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.05	20	-13	33	15.7	14.5	1.21	13.3	13.0	0.25
Hersey Hawkins	97	98	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.26	9	-2	11	15.1	14.5	0.57	12.8	15.3	-2.52
Shawn Kemp	89	89	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.32	7	0	7	14.9	15.2	-0.33	13.3	12.4	0.93
Gary Payton	113	113	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	15.0	0.0	14.99	13.2	0.0	13.15
Detlef Schrempf	98	99	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.19	7	0	7	15.0	15.1	-0.16	12.7	16.3	-3.58
Sam Perkins	68	69	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.26	-5	12	-17	14.9	15.1	-0.20	13.2	13.1	0.06
Greg Graham	16	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	9	-11	14.5	15.1	-0.57	15.3	12.8	2.52
David Wingate	36	35	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.16	-8	15	-23	14.4	15.2	-0.80	13.7	12.9	0.73

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedric Ceballos	66	65	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.10	11	-18	29	12.4	14.1	-1.71	14.4	15.9	-1.50
Mike Brown	1	0	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.05	0	-7	7	3.0	13.2	-10.24	0.0	15.0	-14.99
Steve Nash	7	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-8	9	12.9	13.2	-0.31	10.7	15.3	-4.56
Danny Manning	58	61	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.29	6	-13	19	12.4	13.9	-1.44	15.9	13.9	1.98
Wayman Tisdale	10	10	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.18	-13	6	-19	16.2	12.9	3.35	13.2	15.2	-1.97
Rex Chapman	97	97	-0.34	-0.17	-0.17	-0.34	0	-7	7	12.8	15.6	-2.81	14.8	16.1	-1.25
Kevin Johnson	104	106	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-2	-3	13.4	10.8	2.58	15.3	10.7	4.56
Wesley Person	73	73	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.28	-9	2	-11	13.5	12.5	0.97	14.6	15.6	-1.02
Hot Rod Williams	46	43	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.15	-14	7	-21	15.0	11.9	3.08	16.0	14.4	1.63
Jason Kidd	103	103	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.22	-12	5	-17	12.9	15.4	-2.47	15.0	14.6	0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.18,0.21,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.26,0.2,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.22,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0.01,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.43,0.18,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 93, SAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.24,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.04,0.14,0.16,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.76,0.28,0	90.3%
MIA 95, CLE 93	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.27,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.18,0	90.0%
SEA 113, LAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.46,0.53,0.63,0.22,0.08,0	89.4%