NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	93		Excitement	10.2 [44]		MVP	Jalen Rose (IND): +5.3%
Sacramento Kings	91		Comeback	3.7 [159]		LVP	Jason Williams (SAC): -33.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,0.1,0.05	-0.11	0.15	-0.01	18	42%	0.10	2	-0.04	9	56%	-0.03
Sam Perkins	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	45%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Terry Mills	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	62%	0.07	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.08	-0.03	11	46%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14	-0.02	-0.12	0.00	15	53%	0.03	3	-0.17	4	75%	-0.01
Derrick McKey	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18	-0.04	-0.14	-0.00	4	40%	-0.06	1	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.32	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.08	-0.22	0.01	13	59%	0.02	6	-0.34	8	75%	-0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	6	31%	-0.16	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	10	35%	-0.08	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-0.01	14	43%	-0.10	2	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,-0.27	-0.27	0.00	-0.24	0.03	47	51%	-0.15	4	-0.12	6	50%	0.01
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.33,-0.33	-0.33	-0.10	-0.24	-0.01	15	31%	-0.32	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	343.8	2.4	39.5	17.7	23.1	2.4	34.0	1.5	17.3	481.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	1.7	17.2	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +115.6%

SAC -3.0%

SAC -16.3%

SAC -56.8%

IND +10.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SAC	NBA	IND	SAC	NBA
this game	16.2	15.0	15.5	91.2	89.2	100.9
season	15.9	14.4		99.3	103.1
opponent	15.5	15.6		97.8	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	16.7	15.6	16.4	17.4	13.1	16.2
SAC	12.6	14.4	15.6	15.4	20.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	94	95	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.44	6	-4	10	16.4	13.7	2.66	15.2	11.6	3.65
Travis Best	58	57	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.33	7	-5	12	15.4	17.2	-1.76	15.7	14.0	1.70
Jalen Rose	84	86	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.45	1	1	0	16.2	16.3	-0.15	14.8	16.1	-1.30
Derrick McKey	78	76	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.58	-4	6	-10	16.2	16.2	-0.00	15.3	14.1	1.20
Jermaine O'Neal	84	83	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.36	1	1	0	16.5	14.7	1.87	15.4	12.9	2.49
Austin Croshere	31	30	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.06	1	1	0	15.4	16.6	-1.22	15.3	14.8	0.42
Al Harrington	14	14	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.03	2	0	2	17.1	16.1	1.00	14.6	15.0	-0.46
Zan Tabak	4	5	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	2	-2	16.5	16.2	0.31	14.6	15.0	-0.39
Sam Perkins	43	43	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.13	3	-1	4	16.7	15.8	0.85	13.2	16.3	-3.13
Terry Mills	20	21	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	9	-16	15.7	16.3	-0.57	13.3	15.4	-2.06

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	25	25	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-4	6	14.6	15.1	-0.49	15.9	16.3	-0.38
Vlade Divac	71	72	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.37	11	-13	24	15.5	13.8	1.67	16.5	15.6	0.86
Jason Williams	78	77	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.35	8	-10	18	15.1	14.6	0.51	16.0	16.8	-0.79
Lawrence Funderburke	11	10	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	4	-10	13.7	15.1	-1.39	17.9	16.0	1.88
Peja Stojakovic	85	84	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.32	5	-7	12	15.1	14.4	0.67	16.0	17.4	-1.44
Scot Pollard	19	20	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	3	-8	13.7	15.3	-1.52	16.3	16.2	0.18
Bobby Jackson	24	25	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.09	-10	8	-18	14.6	15.1	-0.51	16.8	16.0	0.79
Jon Barry	43	42	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.40	-2	0	-2	15.3	14.7	0.61	16.1	16.3	-0.19
Chris Webber	96	96	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.44	-1	-1	0	15.2	11.3	3.86	16.0	19.0	-2.97
Doug Christie	58	59	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.16	-12	10	-22	14.3	15.8	-1.45	16.4	15.9	0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.24,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.04,0.14,0.16,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.76,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 109, SAC 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.27,0.34,0.25,0.26,0.43,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.4,0.33,0.19,0.08,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.46,0.45,0.72,0.43,0.42,0	90.5%
SEA 122, PHX 115	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.18,0.21,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.26,0.2,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.22,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0.01,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.43,0.18,0	90.3%
LAL 107, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.36,0.35,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.09,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.1,0	90.0%