NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	109		Excitement	4.6 [885]		MVP	Tracy Murray (TOR): +6.1%
Toronto Raptors	89		Comeback	2.3 [696]		LVP	Vince Carter (TOR): -11.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samaki Walker	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	7	65%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	20	63%	0.15	4	-0.10	9	78%	0.01
Mitch Richmond	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.06	4	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	3	86%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Devean George	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rick Fox	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	21	49%	0.00	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.04
Derek Fisher	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.03	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	9	72%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	12	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	75%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	12	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	11	45%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	9	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	22	51%	0.04	8	-0.15	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	30.2	16.7	25.2	2.6	24.6	123.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +24.0%

LAL +11.9%

LAL +1.6%

LAL +12.9%

TOR -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	TOR	NBA	LAL	TOR	NBA
this game	14.6	15.8	15.6	113.5	95.7	102.3
season	15.3	16.2		106.9	100.3
opponent	15.6	15.4		100.9	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.2	12.7	15.2	16.8	14.6
TOR	16.4	15.6	15.4	16.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	55	54	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.23	26	-6	32	14.5	14.9	-0.45	16.1	15.6	0.49
Robert Horry	49	48	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.26	27	-7	34	14.1	15.2	-1.11	16.1	15.6	0.48
Shaquille O'Neal	76	76	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.18	23	-3	26	14.4	15.5	-1.08	16.2	14.1	2.12
Mitch Richmond	25	25	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.22	19	1	18	14.9	14.6	0.32	17.0	15.4	1.52
Lindsey Hunter	42	40	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.18	17	3	14	15.8	13.7	2.07	15.6	16.0	-0.44
Kobe Bryant	74	72	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	15	-10	14.3	15.8	-1.52	15.5	17.0	-1.55
Derek Fisher	51	49	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	21	-22	14.1	15.3	-1.21	16.0	15.7	0.32
Samaki Walker	44	43	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.18	-4	24	-28	16.5	13.1	3.38	15.3	16.4	-1.10
Rick Fox	41	39	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.15	-6	26	-32	14.9	14.5	0.45	15.6	16.1	-0.49
Slava Medvedenko	16	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	23	-26	12.2	15.1	-2.88	16.4	15.8	0.62
Mark Madsen	7	6	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	23	-26	14.9	14.6	0.23	12.2	16.1	-3.94

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Arroyo	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-20	20	13.8	16.0	-2.17	14.0	14.7	-0.68
Michael Bradley	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-20	20	13.8	16.0	-2.17	14.0	14.7	-0.68
Dell Curry	17	18	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.16	-8	-12	4	16.4	15.7	0.69	16.9	14.1	2.83
Chris Childs	44	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.16	-12	-8	-4	15.8	15.9	-0.02	14.4	14.9	-0.53
Antonio Davis	60	61	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.16	-1	-19	18	15.9	15.8	0.14	14.6	14.8	-0.24
Vince Carter	71	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	-11	2	15.6	16.5	-0.91	14.6	15.0	-0.40
Jerome Williams	49	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	-9	-2	15.9	15.8	0.06	14.0	15.4	-1.42
Tracy Murray	41	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	-7	-6	16.1	15.6	0.49	14.7	14.6	0.15
Alvin Williams	59	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-13	6	15.6	16.2	-0.56	14.7	14.5	0.21
Eric Montross	62	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.19	-20	0	-20	15.8	15.9	-0.08	15.4	13.3	2.09
Keon Clark	52	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.15	-19	-1	-18	16.3	15.2	1.08	14.1	15.4	-1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.69,0.61,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.12,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 92, NYK 86	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
SAC 116, MEM 99	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
SAS 119, MIA 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.3,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%