inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 119 Excitement4.4 [950] MVPLaMarcus Aldridge (SAS): +18.6%
Miami Heat 101 Comeback1.9 [928] LVPChris Bosh (MIA): -11.2%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge0.190,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.180.040.041670%0.1900.008100%0.03
Kawhi Leonard0.100,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.030.011768%0.133-0.0400%0.00
Patty Mills0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.02-0.01653%0.0700.00367%-0.01
Danny Green0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.08-0.010.011068%0.091-0.03250%-0.01
Boban Marjanovic0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.030.02565%0.061-0.02771%-0.01
Jonathon Simmons0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.00-0.01953%0.032-0.0210%0.00
David West0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00460%0.041-0.032100%0.01
Ray McCallum0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rasual Butler-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tony Parker-0.030,0,0,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.001033%-0.0300.001100%0.00
Boris Diaw-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.000.02850%-0.032-0.0220%-0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hassan Whiteside0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.01-0.02967%0.0910.00367%-0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.110.010.031274%0.142-0.06367%0.00
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.010.02776%0.101-0.023100%0.01
Gerald Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.02-0.01757%0.0600.0000%0.00
Luol Deng0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.010.01758%0.0600.00560%-0.02
Jarnell Stokes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Josh McRoberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Justise Winslow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01250%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.010.01333%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Goran Dragic0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.03-0.00950%-0.024-0.0920%-0.04
Chris Bosh0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.06-0.020.031260%0.037-0.156100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.23.428.316.628.53.434.4140.8
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +7.8%
SAS +1.8%
SAS +17.8%
SAS +21.0%
SAS +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMIANBASASMIANBA
this game15.514.314.9122.7105.2105.1
season15.715.5109.0104.5
opponent15.114.7103.197.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS14.816.114.816.515.5
MIA12.917.415.212.314.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kawhi Leonard69680.53-0.030.57-0.1423-52815.216.3-1.1314.314.30.00
Danny Green63630.460.040.43-0.1521-32414.717.1-2.4214.314.30.03
Tony Parker55550.430.070.36-0.1620-22215.315.7-0.3915.113.21.93
LaMarcus Aldridge67650.380.120.26-0.061531215.715.00.7013.915.3-1.43
Jonathon Simmons47460.270.230.050.13513-815.815.30.4913.315.3-1.96
David West45450.270.230.04-0.11135814.916.0-1.1315.413.32.11
Boris Diaw48470.110.39-0.28-0.09711-416.114.91.2115.613.12.45
Patty Mills33320.070.43-0.360.07018-1814.715.9-1.1913.714.6-0.91
Boban Marjanovic27280.030.47-0.440.18-523-2815.915.40.5713.214.8-1.51
Ray McCallum990.000.50-0.500.06-220-2219.415.14.3311.414.6-3.18
Rasual Butler2222-0.060.56-0.620.15-725-3217.215.02.1614.214.4-0.18

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jarnell Stokes660.00-0.500.50-0.124-222610.514.6-4.0818.315.33.00
Amar'e Stoudemire2627-0.05-0.450.40-0.050-181814.514.30.1914.915.8-0.87
Josh McRoberts1920-0.13-0.370.24-0.07-2-161416.213.92.3517.115.12.00
Gerald Green4847-0.15-0.350.210.09-8-10213.415.3-1.9415.915.10.82
Beno Udrih3437-0.23-0.270.04-0.08-5-13815.113.91.1416.414.91.48
Justise Winslow4748-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.00-9-9014.514.20.3315.215.8-0.53
Hassan Whiteside4948-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.03-9-9015.712.92.7615.915.20.71
Luol Deng5153-0.31-0.19-0.130.13-15-3-1214.114.6-0.4815.515.6-0.10
Chris Bosh7272-0.32-0.18-0.130.12-15-3-1213.716.1-2.4015.017.0-1.95
Goran Dragic6664-0.37-0.13-0.250.10-16-2-1414.015.0-0.9415.316.0-0.69
Dwyane Wade6263-0.38-0.12-0.260.06-15-3-1214.414.20.2314.916.6-1.65


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.3,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 100, MIN 850.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.5%
UTA 105, LAC 920.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.33,0.29,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.14,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,095.2%
IND 102, NYK 950.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,094.8%