NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	116		Excitement	4.3 [938]		MVP	Hedo Turkoglu (SAC): +7.4%
Memphis Grizzlies	99		Comeback	2.2 [801]		LVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): -10.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.01	0.05	12	73%	0.08	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Bobby Jackson	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.03	0.04	18	59%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Keon Clark	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	8	62%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damon Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	12	65%	0.03	4	-0.08	13	77%	-0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	17	36%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	9	58%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	117%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	54%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Mike Batiste	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.01	6	54%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	13	52%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	11	36%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	11	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	11	67%	0.04	5	-0.10	8	75%	-0.02
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	10	35%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	603.4	2.5	-689.7	15.4	25.5	2.4	23.5	-16.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +17.1%

SAC +13.3%

SAC +6.5%

SAC +17.6%

MEM -4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MEM	NBA	SAC	MEM	NBA
this game	13.7	14.2	15.5	111.5	97.1	101.6
season	14.0	15.3		104.4	101.8
opponent	15.2	15.7		105.1	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.2	11.7	13.5	17.3	13.7
MEM	14.5	13.6	14.8	14.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	80	78	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.11	22	-5	27	13.6	14.2	-0.66	14.2	14.5	-0.30
Doug Christie	72	71	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	6	5	12.8	15.8	-3.04	14.3	14.1	0.23
Damon Jones	38	38	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.04	10	7	3	13.9	13.6	0.33	14.3	14.2	0.06
Vlade Divac	77	75	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.10	15	2	13	13.4	14.6	-1.15	14.3	14.0	0.36
Keon Clark	55	56	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.05	9	8	1	14.5	12.9	1.52	14.6	13.7	0.93
Hedo Turkoglu	56	55	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.04	8	9	-1	14.0	13.5	0.52	14.0	14.5	-0.45
Gerald Wallace	43	42	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.03	8	9	-1	15.3	12.6	2.70	14.0	14.3	-0.30
Bobby Jackson	75	73	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.03	5	12	-7	13.9	13.4	0.50	14.2	14.3	-0.12
Lawrence Funderburke	24	22	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	20	-23	12.2	14.2	-1.99	13.8	14.3	-0.58

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brevin Knight	33	33	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-20	23	14.5	14.1	0.43	12.4	14.4	-2.02
Mike Batiste	18	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-22	27	13.1	14.5	-1.42	16.4	13.2	3.27
Earl Watson	29	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-16	15	14.3	14.2	0.17	16.2	12.8	3.37
Drew Gooden	34	36	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-16	15	13.5	14.6	-1.04	13.7	13.8	-0.07
Wesley Person	47	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-10	3	13.8	14.6	-0.73	11.6	15.7	-4.14
Stromile Swift	56	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.12	-11	-6	-5	14.6	13.8	0.85	13.3	14.3	-0.99
Shane Battier	59	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-9	1	14.1	14.4	-0.29	12.7	15.1	-2.42
Pau Gasol	71	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-6	-5	14.2	14.2	-0.00	14.0	13.2	0.77
Lorenzen Wright	32	33	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-6	-5	14.8	14.0	0.81	14.4	13.5	0.91
Jason Williams	69	71	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.09	-20	3	-23	14.1	14.5	-0.43	14.4	12.4	2.02
Gordan Giricek	62	65	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	0.04	-23	6	-29	14.7	13.5	1.15	14.3	12.7	1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 95, WAS 71	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
ORL 103, DET 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
SEA 104, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%