inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 95 Excitement3.7 [1055] MVPJason Hart (SAS): +10.1%
Washington Wizards 71 Comeback2.3 [219] LVPGilbert Arenas (WAS): -17.4%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Hart0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.01-0.01786%0.111-0.0100%0.00
Bruce Bowen0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.00467%0.0300.00450%-0.01
Malik Rose0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.070.000.051570%0.033-0.013100%0.01
Shane Heal0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Devin Brown-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Robert Horry-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03462%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Parker-0.010,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00862%0.063-0.0700%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.110.04-0.04818%-0.011-0.011100%0.04
Rasho Nesterovic-0.030,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.00729%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.090,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.020.001233%-0.0900.003100%0.01
Tim Duncan-0.140,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.11-0.020.011061%0.047-0.18875%-0.01

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00275%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jared Jeffries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02660%0.0000.00333%0.00
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.110.00-0.10517%-0.002-0.012100%0.00
Juan Dixon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.011148%0.033-0.101100%0.00
Larry Hughes0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.010.02856%-0.003-0.07250%-0.01
Kwame Brown0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.001036%-0.041-0.0220%-0.04
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01743%-0.033-0.0400%0.00
Brendan Haywood0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.01520%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.020.011030%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.16-0.04-0.031930%-0.1700.00862%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.32.528.215.724.62.526.4125.1
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +35.7%
SAS +11.0%
SAS +9.9%
WAS -1.5%
WAS -5.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASWASNBASASWASNBA
this game15.315.315.7101.175.5100.5
season15.915.2100.196.4
opponent15.315.8102.492.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.013.314.718.615.3
WAS15.017.415.313.515.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bruce Bowen64640.52-0.020.54-0.3028-43214.117.9-3.7915.914.21.69
Hedo Turkoglu56540.480.020.47-0.162222015.515.10.3616.014.41.64
Rasho Nesterovic48470.470.030.450.00168814.316.4-2.0616.414.22.21
Jason Hart49490.330.170.15-0.262041615.814.81.0414.815.9-1.18
Tim Duncan57590.310.190.12-0.071311214.316.9-2.5516.213.82.42
Malik Rose53510.200.30-0.10-0.101014-415.714.90.7814.915.8-0.91
Tony Parker45450.170.33-0.150.06420-1614.815.8-1.0415.914.81.18
Robert Horry26270.020.48-0.46-0.13519-1418.314.24.1813.116.2-3.10
Devin Brown14130.000.50-0.500.06-226-2819.714.55.1612.815.7-2.87
Shane Heal990.000.50-0.50-0.12420-1618.415.03.4611.315.7-4.41
Manu Ginobili4952-0.000.50-0.50-0.00024-2415.115.6-0.5014.816.0-1.23

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steve Blake2826-0.02-0.480.470.07-3-211812.916.3-3.4018.314.24.18
Juan Dixon4745-0.11-0.390.290.30-14-10-414.016.6-2.6415.515.20.33
Etan Thomas4444-0.13-0.370.25-0.01-4-201614.815.8-1.0315.415.20.17
Jared Jeffries4040-0.19-0.310.130.19-13-11-213.816.4-2.6416.314.61.79
Larry Hughes3335-0.22-0.280.050.04-9-15616.614.62.0314.415.9-1.51
Chris Whitney1920-0.32-0.18-0.130.12-15-9-616.715.01.7114.215.6-1.42
Kwame Brown6565-0.32-0.18-0.140.18-17-7-1015.714.61.1115.514.90.56
Gilbert Arenas6869-0.36-0.14-0.220.05-14-10-415.814.01.7714.717.0-2.24
Brendan Haywood4242-0.37-0.13-0.250.04-14-10-416.614.32.3114.715.8-1.09
Jarvis Hayes8484-0.47-0.03-0.440.03-17-7-1015.711.83.9415.117.4-2.33


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 116, MEM 990.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%
ORL 103, DET 850.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.0%
DAL 119, SAC 1070.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.26,0.4,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,094.8%