NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	92		Excitement	4.4 [910]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +16.4%
New York Knicks	86		Comeback	2.3 [127]		LVP	Allan Houston (NYK): -17.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16	0.10	0.01	-0.06	21	65%	0.18	2	-0.02	6	67%	0.02
Adrian Griffin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	70%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.01	-0.06	5	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	9	33%	-0.04
Randy Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	5	64%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Bryant Stith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	7	26%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Eric Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	5	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.03	0.02	20	48%	-0.03	4	-0.11	8	62%	-0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	9	78%	0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.17	-0.02	0.09	22	70%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Rick Brunson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	20%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.06	0.04	13	63%	0.05	6	-0.19	4	100%	0.03
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-0.05	-0.03	12	17%	-0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.7	27.4	21.8	33.4	3.4	35.6	151.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +6.9%

BOS +13.6%

BOS +2.2%

BOS +22.2%

BOS +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	15.8	16.0	15.5	101.1	95.6	100.9
season	15.1	16.4		99.7	99.2
opponent	16.1	15.4		96.6	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.2	14.4	16.8	17.7	15.8
NYK	16.5	19.9	15.3	12.9	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	67	67	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-4	14	15.4	17.0	-1.64	16.9	13.5	3.37
Randy Brown	58	56	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	-5	16	16.1	15.3	0.81	16.6	15.1	1.57
Antoine Walker	89	89	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.28	6	0	6	16.0	6.5	9.50	15.7	44.0	-28.28
Vitaly Potapenko	27	26	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	-5	16	14.2	16.5	-2.23	17.9	15.3	2.60
Bryant Stith	52	50	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.32	-1	7	-8	16.3	15.2	1.12	16.2	15.8	0.42
Tony Battie	61	61	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.28	-3	9	-12	17.0	13.4	3.62	16.4	15.3	1.07
Kenny Anderson	16	16	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	1	4	16.1	15.7	0.40	12.6	16.8	-4.22
Eric Williams	37	36	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.22	-4	10	-14	15.0	16.3	-1.33	13.0	18.1	-5.06
Adrian Griffin	30	31	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	1	4	15.7	15.8	-0.09	16.1	16.0	0.05
Milt Palacio	18	18	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.15	-10	16	-26	13.8	16.3	-2.51	17.3	15.7	1.56

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Brunson	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-8	10	7.0	16.1	-9.13	2.0	15.9	-13.94
Marcus Camby	17	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-7	8	18.6	15.4	3.22	15.2	15.9	-0.78
Travis Knight	13	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.09	-5	-1	-4	14.9	16.2	-1.30	12.5	16.3	-3.79
Erick Strickland	14	14	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	1	-8	18.0	15.7	2.33	12.7	16.4	-3.64
Latrell Sprewell	77	79	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.36	3	-9	12	15.6	18.6	-3.02	15.8	15.5	0.34
Kurt Thomas	71	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-4	2	15.7	17.2	-1.43	15.5	16.7	-1.14
Glen Rice	75	76	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.39	3	-9	12	15.5	18.5	-2.92	16.5	12.3	4.22
Larry Johnson	54	54	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.10	-11	5	-16	17.5	13.9	3.62	16.4	14.9	1.52
Allan Houston	71	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	-2	-2	16.2	15.6	0.58	16.5	12.9	3.62
Chris Childs	57	57	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.21	-10	4	-14	15.3	17.4	-2.10	15.6	16.2	-0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 109, TOR 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.69,0.61,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.12,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
ORL 97, HOU 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.08,0.1,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0	94.3%
MIA 111, NYK 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.1%