NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	94		Excitement	6.4 [520]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +20.2%
New York Knicks	102		Comeback	1.1 [791]		LVP	Vince Carter (TOR): -20.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13	0.10	0.05	0.02	15	63%	0.13	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Jerome Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Keon Clark	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Carlos Arroyo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.03	7	71%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.03	11	72%	0.08	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Eric Montross	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Antonio Davis	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.05	-0.02	14	27%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.13,-0.1,-0.16,-0.19,-0.2	-0.16	-0.08	-0.04	20	34%	-0.12	3	-0.08	4	50%	0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.12	-0.01	22	64%	0.24	3	-0.04	9	67%	-0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	1	150%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.06	-0.03	15	48%	0.08	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	19	52%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.02	5	81%	0.08	1	-0.08	6	100%	0.02
Felton Spencer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	-0.00	-0.04	9	20%	-0.09	2	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.7	31.3	18.4	24.0	2.6	47.7	149.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +43.8%

TOR -3.7%

TOR -5.4%

NYK +16.5%

TOR -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	15.2	17.0	15.6	104.4	114.6	102.3
season	16.2	15.9		100.3	99.6
opponent	15.6	15.6		103.9	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.1	13.6	16.6	15.5	15.2
NYK	16.9	17.0	17.8	16.5	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dell Curry	42	41	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.17	8	-16	24	14.5	15.8	-1.27	16.6	17.4	-0.79
Carlos Arroyo	7	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-7	6	15.7	15.1	0.58	16.4	17.1	-0.63
Eric Montross	23	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-5	2	18.2	14.1	4.02	17.3	16.9	0.40
Keon Clark	50	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-7	6	14.0	16.6	-2.56	17.8	16.1	1.64
Jerome Williams	25	26	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-7	6	16.1	14.8	1.30	17.3	16.9	0.47
Morris Peterson	62	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.02	-16	8	-24	14.9	15.7	-0.78	16.5	18.3	-1.78
Vince Carter	86	86	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.29	-7	-1	-6	15.2	14.7	0.45	17.0	16.3	0.70
Antonio Davis	77	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.22	-10	2	-12	15.3	14.4	0.93	17.1	16.8	0.28
Alvin Williams	78	76	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.31	-9	1	-10	15.1	15.8	-0.76	17.0	17.2	-0.26

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	63	62	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.11	19	-11	30	17.0	17.0	-0.04	15.5	14.4	1.14
Allan Houston	72	71	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.14	15	-7	22	16.4	19.4	-2.97	16.0	12.0	4.03
Latrell Sprewell	83	84	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.23	8	0	8	17.2	14.8	2.34	15.3	13.3	1.98
Travis Knight	45	49	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.45	-1	9	-10	17.8	16.2	1.60	14.8	15.6	-0.79
Othella Harrington	79	78	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.13	10	-2	12	17.1	16.3	0.80	15.0	16.5	-1.53
Felton Spencer	12	10	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.15	13	-5	18	17.7	16.9	0.76	14.7	15.2	-0.54
Kurt Thomas	32	35	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.14	-5	13	-18	17.3	16.8	0.52	17.7	13.6	4.10
Shandon Anderson	33	33	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.11	-8	16	-24	16.0	17.6	-1.61	11.5	17.3	-5.78
Charlie Ward	26	28	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.15	-11	19	-30	17.0	17.0	0.04	14.4	15.5	-1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.72,0.7,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.62,0.79,0.95,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 119, CHA 121	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.7,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.77,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.76,0.67,0.77,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.69,0.9,0.91,0.96,1	93.3%
UTA 86, MEM 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.8,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.82,0.9,0.84,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.46,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.99,1	93.1%
MIL 89, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.84,0.98,1,1	93.0%