NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	119		Excitement	7.0 [373]		MVP	Jason Richardson (CHA): +37.1%
Charlotte Bobcats	121		Comeback	1.0 [903]		LVP	Randy Foye (MIN): -25.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.36	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.36	0.22	0.15	0.01	25	73%	0.45	4	-0.09	5	80%	-0.01
Ryan Gomes	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	20	55%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Greg Buckner	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.00	9	72%	0.11	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	57%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Richard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	1	75%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rashad McCants	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	12	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	6	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Randy Foye	-0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.26	0.01	-0.26	0.01	17	53%	0.12	2	-0.38	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.25	0.13	0.00	21	67%	0.37	0	0.00	12	75%	0.01
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.25	0.25	0.16	0.15	0.06	8	92%	0.30	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.09	-0.00	11	71%	0.21	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.03	-0.02	5	67%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.00	0.03	10	81%	0.11	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jermareo Davidson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.04,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.11	-0.02	11	54%	-0.02	5	-0.13	6	67%	-0.18

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	3.4	25.5	15.5	30.2	2.5	37.0	138.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +50.0%

MIN -14.6%

MIN -9.1%

CHA +23.6%

CHA +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CHA	NBA	MIN	CHA	NBA
this game	15.2	14.5	15.4	122.7	124.7	105.7
season	15.9	15.8		102.2	103.1
opponent	15.1	15.0		107.8	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.9	14.7	14.6	14.5	15.2
CHA	12.4	15.9	14.2	15.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Snyder	12	13	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.09	4	-6	10	13.7	15.4	-1.65	13.4	14.7	-1.28
Chris Richard	25	22	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.08	2	-4	6	14.4	15.5	-1.13	14.0	14.6	-0.58
Corey Brewer	34	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.14	-7	5	-12	17.1	14.2	2.96	13.3	15.1	-1.85
Greg Buckner	63	62	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.63	17	-19	36	14.7	16.0	-1.28	15.5	12.7	2.74
Rashad McCants	6	7	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.09	-8	6	-14	16.7	15.1	1.57	10.4	14.8	-4.38
Craig Smith	58	58	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.22	2	-4	6	14.5	16.2	-1.65	14.8	14.1	0.70
Randy Foye	80	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.45	2	-4	6	15.3	14.7	0.59	14.8	13.2	1.60
Al Jefferson	73	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.40	-4	2	-6	15.3	15.0	0.32	14.6	14.0	0.58
Ryan Gomes	76	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.33	-7	5	-12	15.2	15.0	0.25	14.8	13.5	1.23
Marko Jaric	58	60	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.24	-11	9	-20	15.4	14.9	0.54	13.9	15.5	-1.65

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	72	73	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-9	20	13.9	16.1	-2.14	14.9	16.2	-1.35
Matt Carroll	78	79	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.38	4	-2	6	14.5	14.5	-0.04	15.0	16.2	-1.19
Jason Richardson	91	90	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	-1	4	14.4	15.3	-0.89	15.4	13.1	2.21
Emeka Okafor	74	74	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	-7	16	14.0	16.0	-1.92	15.1	15.6	-0.48
Jared Dudley	54	54	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.32	-3	5	-8	14.8	14.1	0.64	15.1	15.3	-0.15
Nazr Mohammed	66	67	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.31	-3	5	-8	15.2	13.0	2.24	15.2	15.2	-0.01
Jermareo Davidson	5	6	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	-2	6	13.4	14.6	-1.15	17.8	15.0	2.81
Ryan Hollins	13	12	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	6	-10	13.2	14.7	-1.55	13.7	15.4	-1.65
Earl Boykins	32	30	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.14	-11	13	-24	15.7	13.9	1.83	16.6	14.6	1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.7,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.77,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.76,0.67,0.77,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.69,0.9,0.91,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 94, NYK 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.72,0.7,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.62,0.79,0.95,0.98,1	93.3%
DAL 85, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.96,1,1	93.1%
CLE 101, MIL 108	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.78,0.78,0.59,0.67,0.81,0.7,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.98,0.97,0.98,1	93.0%