NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	85		Excitement	5.9 [638]		MVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): +9.9%
Chicago Bulls	96		Comeback	1.0 [527]		LVP	Josh Howard (DAL): -17.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Dampier	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	-0.00	5	64%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	22	49%	0.05	1	-0.03	13	92%	0.03
DJ Mbenga	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	13	52%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Devin Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	7	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	14	40%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Josh Howard	-0.18	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.19	-0.02	-0.03	20	21%	-0.14	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.08	-0.03	13	54%	0.15	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	0.00	11	55%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	23	58%	0.14	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	16	55%	0.03	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	2	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	5	31%	-0.04	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	3.6	32.2	19.6	23.1	3.5	35.3	143.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +56.3%

DAL -11.5%

CHI +17.9%

DAL -11.6%

DAL -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CHI	NBA	DAL	CHI	NBA
this game	17.4	14.5	15.4	94.4	105.5	104.5
season	16.3	14.5		108.7	103.1
opponent	15.9	15.2		98.1	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	18.9	16.7	16.3	17.4	17.4
CHI	13.0	14.6	14.3	16.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	7	6	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.02	1	-12	13	11.7	17.8	-6.12	15.7	14.4	1.27
DJ Mbenga	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	10.0	17.4	-7.44	16.0	14.5	1.53
Devean George	32	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.01	-1	-10	9	16.3	17.9	-1.62	12.4	15.8	-3.39
Devin Harris	36	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-7	3	17.1	17.6	-0.50	13.8	14.9	-1.16
DeSagana Diop	36	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-9	7	16.0	18.3	-2.31	15.6	13.8	1.82
Greg Buckner	39	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.41	9	-20	29	17.6	17.2	0.37	16.9	12.7	4.27
Jerry Stackhouse	53	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-7	3	17.1	17.8	-0.68	14.8	14.1	0.71
Erick Dampier	41	43	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-6	1	18.5	16.4	2.03	14.3	14.7	-0.39
Josh Howard	64	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-1	-9	17.7	16.6	1.09	13.5	16.9	-3.42
Dirk Nowitzki	74	74	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.02	-18	7	-25	17.8	15.2	2.64	14.7	13.6	1.10
Jason Terry	67	69	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	0.00	-23	12	-35	18.1	15.3	2.76	14.4	14.7	-0.26

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	53	52	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.00	26	-15	41	13.8	15.4	-1.56	19.4	14.6	4.81
Luol Deng	69	67	0.75	-0.25	0.99	-0.10	29	-18	47	14.0	15.9	-1.88	18.3	14.5	3.81
Kirk Hinrich	61	60	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.00	20	-9	29	14.2	15.0	-0.82	17.5	17.1	0.33
Ben Gordon	83	83	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.14	14	-3	17	14.9	10.6	4.23	17.4	17.3	0.08
Ben Wallace	68	67	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-4	19	14.8	13.7	1.11	17.6	16.5	1.12
Andres Nocioni	27	28	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.22	-10	21	-31	13.6	14.9	-1.32	16.6	17.7	-1.03
Chris Duhon	24	23	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.13	-7	18	-25	15.2	14.2	0.93	17.4	17.3	0.11
Malik Allen	21	21	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.17	-9	20	-29	16.9	13.8	3.15	15.3	18.0	-2.64
Thabo Sefolosha	21	21	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.10	-9	20	-29	14.5	14.5	0.05	14.7	18.2	-3.45
Tyrus Thomas	28	28	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.22	-14	25	-39	14.1	14.7	-0.54	14.5	18.7	-4.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 83, UTA 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.85,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.73,0.81,0.93,0.97,1,1	94.8%
LAL 84, SAS 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.76,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.86,0.99,0.87,0.98,1	94.3%
SAS 103, PHX 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.9,0.98,1	94.1%