inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 103 Excitement6.2 [581] MVPJared Dudley (PHX): +10.9%
Phoenix Suns 106 Comeback1.1 [574] LVPTony Parker (SAS): -8.5%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
George Hill0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.060.040.02-0.001050%0.0600.00683%0.03
DeJuan Blair0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.00380%0.071-0.024100%0.02
Danny Green0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.040.08-0.010.02972%0.051-0.0100%0.00
Matt Bonner0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.020.000.020.00645%0.0200.00887%0.02
Antonio McDyess0.020,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.05-0.010.02667%0.0200.0000%0.00
Tiago Splitter0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Gary Neal0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.010.02-0.02-0.001154%0.041-0.03475%-0.01
Manu Ginobili-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Steve Novak-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.060,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.04-0.050.041449%-0.031-0.03743%-0.03
Richard Jefferson-0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.030.01839%-0.061-0.022100%0.01
Tony Parker-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.00-0.001240%-0.023-0.06667%-0.02

Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jared Dudley0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.110.110.040.070.001352%0.131-0.03786%0.02
Robin Lopez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.010.02579%0.0900.00475%0.00
Marcin Gortat0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.080.080.060.040.021660%0.152-0.06333%-0.02
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,0.050.05-0.070.08-0.04722%0.0500.004100%0.06
Channing Frye0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.010.001747%0.0300.002100%0.01
Grant Hill0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.06-0.030.021061%0.061-0.053100%0.01
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.01-0.01844%0.041-0.03250%-0.01
Josh Childress0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00-0.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Hakim Warrick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01440%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Steve Nash0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.020.001036%-0.041-0.032100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.30.829.515.423.41.840.5138.6
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHX +29.1%
PHX +7.0%
PHX +12.7%
SAS -2.5%
PHX +3.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASPHXNBASASPHXNBA
this game14.915.915.5108.4115.2105.7
season15.514.5109.3108.0
opponent15.715.2109.0103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.413.018.312.414.9
PHX12.416.016.818.915.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tiago Splitter980.06-0.560.62-0.095-81312.615.1-2.5817.915.72.14
Manu Ginobili55-0.01-0.490.490.02-1-2115.814.80.9612.616.1-3.51
Steve Novak1514-0.03-0.470.44-0.154-71115.914.71.2321.115.06.07
Tim Duncan6057-0.11-0.390.28-0.234-71115.214.40.7415.816.1-0.35
George Hill5553-0.20-0.300.10-0.417-101714.016.1-2.1717.513.73.83
Danny Green4745-0.22-0.280.06-0.458-111913.416.4-2.9918.413.64.85
Matt Bonner3333-0.24-0.260.02-0.240-3314.315.2-0.9516.015.90.07
Antonio McDyess4039-0.26-0.24-0.020.03-107-1716.114.02.1713.717.5-3.83
Tony Parker5151-0.27-0.23-0.050.02-107-1716.313.33.0213.918.4-4.54
Richard Jefferson5752-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.26-30-315.314.30.9214.817.4-2.57
DeJuan Blair3233-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.17-74-1114.015.3-1.3516.115.80.21
Gary Neal7170-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.14-129-2115.114.40.7015.616.8-1.18

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Channing Frye71720.60-0.100.700.3010-71715.417.7-2.2615.413.41.98
Jared Dudley64640.500.000.490.1711-81915.217.6-2.3715.314.01.28
Marcin Gortat71720.500.000.490.1711-81915.018.9-3.8614.815.2-0.43
Grant Hill59600.460.040.410.315-2714.917.7-2.7614.715.2-0.53
Steve Nash62620.370.130.240.0511-81914.519.0-4.5215.413.91.46
Vince Carter38400.150.35-0.200.18-14-517.614.82.7715.414.50.83
Aaron Brooks30330.130.37-0.240.37-811-1919.014.54.5213.915.4-1.46
Robin Lopez21230.030.47-0.440.21-69-1518.915.03.8615.214.80.43
Josh Childress2326-0.100.60-0.700.16-912-2117.815.32.4813.615.4-1.81
Hakim Warrick2123-0.120.62-0.750.14-912-2117.715.42.2613.415.4-1.98


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.9,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOP 83, UTA 880.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.85,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.73,0.81,0.93,0.97,1,194.3%
DAL 85, CHI 960.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.96,1,194.1%
LAL 84, SAS 900.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.76,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.86,0.99,0.87,0.98,194.0%