NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	86		Excitement	5.8 [678]		MVP	Alec Burks (UTA): +14.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	96		Comeback	1.2 [1041]		LVP	Diante Garrett (UTA): -23.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	11	67%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	5	90%	0.13	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	14	43%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.05	-0.01	7	64%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	16	43%	0.05	3	-0.09	5	40%	-0.05
Jeremy Evans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.02	-0.05	10	27%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Trey Burke	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.07	0.03	14	55%	0.03	4	-0.14	1	100%	0.00
Diante Garrett	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.10	-0.14	-0.00	6	17%	-0.10	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	14	56%	0.11	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.05
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	5	55%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.05	0.01	16	54%	0.12	3	-0.07	7	71%	0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	15	53%	0.12	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	78%	0.07	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Calathes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.5	27.2	14.8	28.2	1.7	33.0	128.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -0.9%

MEM +23.4%

MEM +5.6%

MEM +16.1%

MEM +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MEM	NBA	UTA	MEM	NBA
this game	15.1	15.9	15.1	93.5	102.1	105.2
season	16.2	16.4		102.1	104.5
opponent	15.2	14.8		103.4	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.7	14.7	14.5	13.5	15.1
MEM	15.8	14.1	15.5	18.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Diante Garrett	27	27	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.15	6	-16	22	15.2	15.0	0.24	16.6	15.6	0.97
Jeremy Evans	12	13	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	-5	0	12.2	15.5	-3.23	14.1	16.2	-2.12
Richard Jefferson	53	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-5	0	16.5	13.1	3.34	15.5	16.4	-0.82
Marvin Williams	46	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.20	-1	-9	8	14.8	15.3	-0.46	15.3	16.6	-1.30
Derrick Favors	53	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-2	-6	15.0	15.2	-0.17	16.6	14.8	1.80
Enes Kanter	73	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-4	-2	15.7	12.5	3.19	16.1	15.3	0.79
Gordon Hayward	72	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-2	-6	14.7	16.1	-1.40	16.2	14.6	1.60
Alec Burks	59	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.22	-7	-3	-4	14.2	16.7	-2.51	15.8	16.1	-0.24
Trey Burke	65	67	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	6	-22	15.0	15.2	-0.24	15.6	16.6	-0.97

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	72	70	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.25	16	-6	22	15.7	16.5	-0.78	14.7	16.1	-1.36
Marc Gasol	70	68	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.18	4	6	-2	16.6	13.8	2.84	15.2	14.6	0.64
Mike Conley	64	63	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	4	2	16.3	15.0	1.38	15.0	15.2	-0.27
Courtney Lee	53	53	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.10	6	4	2	16.8	14.8	2.04	15.4	14.6	0.85
Mike Miller	39	36	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.14	4	6	-2	15.0	16.6	-1.59	14.9	15.2	-0.32
Tayshaun Prince	55	56	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	4	2	16.6	15.0	1.59	15.2	14.9	0.32
Tony Allen	41	39	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	6	-2	14.8	16.8	-2.04	14.6	15.4	-0.85
Nick Calathes	30	29	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	6	-2	15.0	16.3	-1.38	15.2	15.0	0.27
Kosta Koufos	29	30	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	8	-6	14.7	16.4	-1.71	14.6	15.3	-0.62
Jon Leuer	17	16	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	12	-14	15.7	15.9	-0.24	16.6	14.7	1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.8,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.82,0.9,0.84,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.46,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 86, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.67,0.8,0.85,0.98,1,1	93.1%
TOR 94, NYK 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.72,0.7,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.62,0.79,0.95,0.98,1	93.1%
PHI 94, NJN 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.87,0.87,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.6,0.66,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.84,1	92.8%