NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	94		Excitement	7.0 [419]		MVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): +14.0%
New Jersey Nets	99		Comeback	1.0 [846]		LVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): -25.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruce Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	65%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Eric Snow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Matt Geiger	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	9	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.12	0.05	-0.03	9	52%	0.08	5	-0.11	9	89%	0.05
Billy Owens	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,-0.07	0.04	-0.11	-0.00	26	58%	-0.01	2	-0.05	20	85%	0.06
Larry Hughes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	9	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Aaron McKie	-0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.22	-0.04	-0.01	9	0%	-0.18	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.05	-0.01	18	66%	0.22	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	11	42%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.05	-0.02	15	60%	0.09	3	-0.11	5	80%	0.01
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.05	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	0.01	-0.02	23	40%	-0.03	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.5	33.7	14.8	23.9	1.8	36.4	139.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +66.2%

PHI -20.0%

NJN +2.5%

PHI -0.2%

NJN +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NJN	NBA	PHI	NJN	NBA
this game	14.8	16.3	15.2	102.2	106.5	101.7
season	15.0	15.5		99.5	102.1
opponent	14.7	15.5		103.3	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.7	16.5	14.9	13.2	14.8
NJN	13.5	17.0	19.4	16.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Bowen	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-4	3	16.7	14.7	1.94	7.3	16.6	-9.30
Matt Geiger	27	25	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-8	11	15.3	14.6	0.66	17.9	15.8	2.12
Billy Owens	25	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-2	-1	16.9	14.0	2.92	17.3	16.0	1.23
Larry Hughes	40	42	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-3	1	14.8	14.7	0.10	15.5	17.0	-1.52
George Lynch	67	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.26	-2	-3	1	14.2	16.5	-2.32	16.4	16.2	0.17
Eric Snow	76	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-4	3	14.1	18.1	-3.96	16.2	16.9	-0.64
Tyrone Hill	69	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-1	-3	14.7	15.2	-0.51	16.3	16.4	-0.04
Allen Iverson	86	88	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.33	-5	0	-5	14.8	14.7	0.14	16.6	11.8	4.79
Aaron McKie	67	66	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	5	-15	15.2	13.6	1.58	16.1	16.9	-0.78

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kerry Kittles	72	71	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.36	8	-3	11	16.8	14.8	2.03	14.9	14.4	0.53
Stephon Marbury	87	84	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.33	7	-2	9	16.4	15.0	1.43	14.7	15.7	-1.05
Keith Van Horn	66	65	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.33	6	-1	7	16.3	16.4	-0.05	14.2	16.1	-1.86
Kendall Gill	81	79	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.40	2	3	-1	16.7	13.7	3.06	15.0	13.5	1.55
Jamie Feick	47	44	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.32	2	3	-1	15.8	16.8	-1.02	14.1	15.4	-1.30
Jim McIlvaine	39	40	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	-2	9	16.7	16.0	0.71	15.3	14.4	0.90
Johnny Newman	12	13	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.04	3	2	1	13.7	16.7	-3.06	13.5	15.0	-1.55
Scott Burrell	27	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	6	-7	16.4	16.3	0.05	16.1	14.2	1.86
Elliot Perry	6	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	7	-9	15.0	16.4	-1.43	15.7	14.7	1.05
Michael Cage	7	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	9	-13	17.4	16.2	1.18	16.0	14.7	1.32
Lucious Harris	21	21	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	8	-11	14.8	16.8	-2.03	14.4	14.9	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.87,0.87,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.6,0.66,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 86, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.67,0.8,0.85,0.98,1,1	93.5%
ATL 81, MIA 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.93,0.96,0.96,1,1	93.4%
CHI 70, CLE 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.72,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.89,0.9,0.96,1	93.3%